Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates afternoon highs in Panama City likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on September 8, consistent with the market's close clustering around 33–34 °C. Typical wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective showers, and variable cloud cover—limit peak solar heating while occasional breaks allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, with current ENSO-neutral patterns offering little large-scale modulation. Traders weigh model consensus on timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees if widespread, against drier scenarios that push temperatures toward or above 35 °C. Updated IMHPA guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
Highest temperature in Panama City on September 8?
33°C 49%
35°C or higher 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
4%
30°C
4%
31°C
12%
32°C
20%
33°C
49%
34°C
31%
35°C or higher
46%
33°C 49%
35°C or higher 46%
34°C 31%
32°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Sep 8, 2026
25°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$0 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
4%
28°C
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$0 Vol.
12%
32°C
$0 Vol.
20%
33°C
$0 Vol.
49%
34°C
$0 Vol.
31%
35°C or higher
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates afternoon highs in Panama City likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on September 8, consistent with the market's close clustering around 33–34 °C. Typical wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective showers, and variable cloud cover—limit peak solar heating while occasional breaks allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, with current ENSO-neutral patterns offering little large-scale modulation. Traders weigh model consensus on timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees if widespread, against drier scenarios that push temperatures toward or above 35 °C. Updated IMHPA guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates afternoon highs in Panama City likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on September 8, consistent with the market's close clustering around 33–34 °C. Typical wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective showers, and variable cloud cover—limit peak solar heating while occasional breaks allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, with current ENSO-neutral patterns offering little large-scale modulation. Traders weigh model consensus on timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees if widespread, against drier scenarios that push temperatures toward or above 35 °C. Updated IMHPA guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 8, 2026Market Opened
Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mpmgResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from regional models indicates afternoon highs in Panama City likely reaching the low-to-mid 30s Celsius on September 8, consistent with the market's close clustering around 33–34 °C. Typical wet-season conditions—high humidity, scattered convective showers, and variable cloud cover—limit peak solar heating while occasional breaks allow stronger insolation and higher readings. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, with current ENSO-neutral patterns offering little large-scale modulation. Traders weigh model consensus on timing and intensity of thunderstorms, which can suppress maxima by several degrees if widespread, against drier scenarios that push temperatures toward or above 35 °C. Updated IMHPA guidance and next model runs will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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