Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with current conditions showing highs constrained to the 14–17°C range, well below the 1991–2020 seasonal average of 18.3°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 16°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation trends. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow greater insolation and push the peak toward 17–18°C, while heavier or more prolonged rain might cap it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on September 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on September 6?
16°C 91%
17°C 10%
18°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
$33,739 Vol.
$33,739 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
91%
17°C
10%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 91%
17°C 10%
18°C 1.1%
19°C <1%
$33,739 Vol.
$33,739 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
10°C or below
$634 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$176 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$4,710 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,913 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$8,065 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$7,380 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,722 Vol.
91%
17°C
$1,863 Vol.
10%
18°C
$1,277 Vol.
1%
19°C
$702 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with current conditions showing highs constrained to the 14–17°C range, well below the 1991–2020 seasonal average of 18.3°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 16°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation trends. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow greater insolation and push the peak toward 17–18°C, while heavier or more prolonged rain might cap it lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$33,739End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with current conditions showing highs constrained to the 14–17°C range, well below the 1991–2020 seasonal average of 18.3°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 16°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation trends. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow greater insolation and push the peak toward 17–18°C, while heavier or more prolonged rain might cap it lower.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,739End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Moscow on September 6, driven by persistent cloud cover, light to moderate rain, and westerly winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with current conditions showing highs constrained to the 14–17°C range, well below the 1991–2020 seasonal average of 18.3°C. Trader consensus at 91% implied probability for 16°C reflects this model agreement and ongoing precipitation trends. A sudden reduction in cloud cover or delayed rainfall could allow greater insolation and push the peak toward 17–18°C, while heavier or more prolonged rain might cap it lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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