Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high temperature in Beijing on September 7 most likely between 29°C and 31°C, driven by a transition to northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system bringing rain. This follows several days of warmer conditions near 32°C, with the incoming moisture and wind shift limiting daytime heating below late-summer peaks. Historical climatology shows an average high of 27.9°C for the date, but current guidance from sources like the GFS and regional models clusters around 30°C amid 60-80% precipitation chances. These factors underpin the market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with limited upside risk for extremes given the expected cloudiness and timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 7?
30°C 33%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
NEW
$12,935 Vol.
NEW
$12,935 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
6%
28°C
13%
29°C
26%
30°C
33%
31°C
21%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 33%
29°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 13%
NEW
$12,935 Vol.
NEW
$12,935 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$743 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$380 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,200 Vol.
6%
28°C
$1,641 Vol.
13%
29°C
$4,274 Vol.
26%
30°C
$2,356 Vol.
33%
31°C
$1,942 Vol.
21%
32°C
$592 Vol.
5%
33°C
$538 Vol.
2%
34°C
$303 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$187 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high temperature in Beijing on September 7 most likely between 29°C and 31°C, driven by a transition to northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system bringing rain. This follows several days of warmer conditions near 32°C, with the incoming moisture and wind shift limiting daytime heating below late-summer peaks. Historical climatology shows an average high of 27.9°C for the date, but current guidance from sources like the GFS and regional models clusters around 30°C amid 60-80% precipitation chances. These factors underpin the market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with limited upside risk for extremes given the expected cloudiness and timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$12,935End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high temperature in Beijing on September 7 most likely between 29°C and 31°C, driven by a transition to northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system bringing rain. This follows several days of warmer conditions near 32°C, with the incoming moisture and wind shift limiting daytime heating below late-summer peaks. Historical climatology shows an average high of 27.9°C for the date, but current guidance from sources like the GFS and regional models clusters around 30°C amid 60-80% precipitation chances. These factors underpin the market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with limited upside risk for extremes given the expected cloudiness and timing of any clearing.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$12,935End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high temperature in Beijing on September 7 most likely between 29°C and 31°C, driven by a transition to northeasterly flow and increasing cloud cover ahead of a frontal system bringing rain. This follows several days of warmer conditions near 32°C, with the incoming moisture and wind shift limiting daytime heating below late-summer peaks. Historical climatology shows an average high of 27.9°C for the date, but current guidance from sources like the GFS and regional models clusters around 30°C amid 60-80% precipitation chances. These factors underpin the market's strong weighting toward 30°C and 31°C outcomes, with limited upside risk for extremes given the expected cloudiness and timing of any clearing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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