Recent model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance indicate a transition to mostly clear skies with northerly flow on September 7, following heavy rain and cooler conditions on the 6th, which has positioned 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Taipei. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 28–31°C actual highs, with apparent temperatures potentially reaching 33–34°C under humid conditions, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 44%. Limited shower chances and variable wind speeds introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, while official resolution will rely on verified station observations rather than model outputs. Updated CWA bulletins and real-time monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on September 7?
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
44%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 44%
31°C 27%
33°C 19%
30°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
27%
32°C
44%
33°C
19%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and Central Weather Administration guidance indicate a transition to mostly clear skies with northerly flow on September 7, following heavy rain and cooler conditions on the 6th, which has positioned 31–32°C as the most probable daily maximum in Taipei. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 28–31°C actual highs, with apparent temperatures potentially reaching 33–34°C under humid conditions, supporting the market-implied odds favoring 32°C at 44%. Limited shower chances and variable wind speeds introduce modest uncertainty around afternoon peaks, while official resolution will rely on verified station observations rather than model outputs. Updated CWA bulletins and real-time monitoring remain key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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