Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts point to a maximum of 34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 7 amid widespread haze and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the 53% market-implied probability for that outcome. Regional haze from biomass burning can suppress daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the inter-monsoon period, when September climatology shows average highs near 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations indicate limited potential for 35°C or higher under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping those probabilities low. Traders appear to weigh the official 34°C guidance most heavily ahead of final temperature readings used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 7?
34°C 53%
33°C 29%
35°C 14%
32°C 5%
$11,736 Vol.
$11,736 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
29%
34°C
53%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 53%
33°C 29%
35°C 14%
32°C 5%
$11,736 Vol.
$11,736 Vol.
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
29%
34°C
53%
35°C
14%
36°C
2%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Malaysian Meteorological Department forecasts point to a maximum of 34°C for Kuala Lumpur on September 7 amid widespread haze and isolated afternoon thunderstorms, aligning closely with the 53% market-implied probability for that outcome. Regional haze from biomass burning can suppress daytime heating while maintaining high humidity typical of the inter-monsoon period, when September climatology shows average highs near 32–33°C. Ensemble model guidance and recent observations indicate limited potential for 35°C or higher under partly cloudy skies with light winds, keeping those probabilities low. Traders appear to weigh the official 34°C guidance most heavily ahead of final temperature readings used for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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