Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and limited precipitation. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs typically average near 28–30°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and moderating sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea. Recent observations from the prior week show consistent readings in this range without significant warming or cooling anomalies. Model consensus supports these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the market's emphasis on 30°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 7?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 7?
30°C 55%
29°C 30%
31°C 11%
28°C 3%
NEW
$15,604 Vol.
NEW
$15,604 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
30%
30°C
55%
31°C
11%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 55%
29°C 30%
31°C 11%
28°C 3%
NEW
$15,604 Vol.
NEW
$15,604 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
24°C or below
$958 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$340 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$600 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$490 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,279 Vol.
3%
29°C
$4,464 Vol.
30%
30°C
$3,076 Vol.
55%
31°C
$1,675 Vol.
11%
32°C
$830 Vol.
1%
33°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$763 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and limited precipitation. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs typically average near 28–30°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and moderating sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea. Recent observations from the prior week show consistent readings in this range without significant warming or cooling anomalies. Model consensus supports these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the market's emphasis on 30°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$15,604End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and limited precipitation. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs typically average near 28–30°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and moderating sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea. Recent observations from the prior week show consistent readings in this range without significant warming or cooling anomalies. Model consensus supports these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the market's emphasis on 30°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,604End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Shanghai's maximum temperature on September 7 will likely reach 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with northerly winds and limited precipitation. This aligns with early September climatology, where daily highs typically average near 28–30°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns and moderating sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea. Recent observations from the prior week show consistent readings in this range without significant warming or cooling anomalies. Model consensus supports these values, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind could shift the peak by 1°C, explaining the market's emphasis on 30°C and 29°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine this ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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