**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, persistent humidity near 75-95%, and scattered thunderstorms are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow, anchoring the lowest temperature near 26°C.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 6 list minimums of 25.9–26.0°C across Lucknow district blocks, consistent with climatological September lows of ~24–26°C amid peak rainy-season moisture. Light southeast winds and 70–80% storm chances limit clear-sky heat loss, while any breaks in cloud could allow a dip toward 25°C. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 25–26°C capture this narrow range of model outcomes and observational uncertainty, with lower probabilities on 24°C or below reflecting the reduced likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling under saturated conditions. Updated IMD and global model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on September 6?
21°C or below 84%
22°C 84%
25°C 45%
24°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
84%
22°C
84%
23°C
42%
24°C
43%
25°C
45%
26°C
51%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 84%
22°C 84%
25°C 45%
24°C 43%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
84%
22°C
$5 Vol.
84%
23°C
$0 Vol.
42%
24°C
$21 Vol.
43%
25°C
$10 Vol.
45%
26°C
$35 Vol.
51%
27°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$53 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$45 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$45 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, persistent humidity near 75-95%, and scattered thunderstorms are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow, anchoring the lowest temperature near 26°C.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 6 list minimums of 25.9–26.0°C across Lucknow district blocks, consistent with climatological September lows of ~24–26°C amid peak rainy-season moisture. Light southeast winds and 70–80% storm chances limit clear-sky heat loss, while any breaks in cloud could allow a dip toward 25°C. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 25–26°C capture this narrow range of model outcomes and observational uncertainty, with lower probabilities on 24°C or below reflecting the reduced likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling under saturated conditions. Updated IMD and global model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$300End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, persistent humidity near 75-95%, and scattered thunderstorms are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow, anchoring the lowest temperature near 26°C.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 6 list minimums of 25.9–26.0°C across Lucknow district blocks, consistent with climatological September lows of ~24–26°C amid peak rainy-season moisture. Light southeast winds and 70–80% storm chances limit clear-sky heat loss, while any breaks in cloud could allow a dip toward 25°C. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 25–26°C capture this narrow range of model outcomes and observational uncertainty, with lower probabilities on 24°C or below reflecting the reduced likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling under saturated conditions. Updated IMD and global model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$300End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Monsoon-driven cloud cover, persistent humidity near 75-95%, and scattered thunderstorms are moderating overnight radiative cooling in Lucknow, anchoring the lowest temperature near 26°C.** Official India Meteorological Department forecasts for September 6 list minimums of 25.9–26.0°C across Lucknow district blocks, consistent with climatological September lows of ~24–26°C amid peak rainy-season moisture. Light southeast winds and 70–80% storm chances limit clear-sky heat loss, while any breaks in cloud could allow a dip toward 25°C. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 25–26°C capture this narrow range of model outcomes and observational uncertainty, with lower probabilities on 24°C or below reflecting the reduced likelihood of stronger nocturnal cooling under saturated conditions. Updated IMD and global model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions