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icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

icon for Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?

Jan 1, 2027

Jan 1, 2027

13% chance
Polymarket

$38,332 Vol.

13% chance
Polymarket

$38,332 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.India’s 2026 BRICS chairmanship has prioritized integration of the existing 11 members and partner countries over further enlargement, with the September New Delhi summit focused on institutional coherence, economic partnership strategy, and resilience amid geopolitical divisions. Recent foreign ministers’ meetings and preparatory documents highlight persistent consensus challenges in a heterogeneous group, including unresolved cases such as Saudi Arabia and the absence of formal membership criteria. While over 30 nations have expressed interest and applications are on the agenda for discussion, reporting indicates new full-member admissions are not expected this year as the bloc emphasizes partner-country engagement and internal streamlining. Trader pricing reflects this emphasis on consolidation rather than expansion within the calendar year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,332
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.India’s 2026 BRICS chairmanship has prioritized integration of the existing 11 members and partner countries over further enlargement, with the September New Delhi summit focused on institutional coherence, economic partnership strategy, and resilience amid geopolitical divisions. Recent foreign ministers’ meetings and preparatory documents highlight persistent consensus challenges in a heterogeneous group, including unresolved cases such as Saudi Arabia and the absence of formal membership criteria. While over 30 nations have expressed interest and applications are on the agenda for discussion, reporting indicates new full-member admissions are not expected this year as the bloc emphasizes partner-country engagement and internal streamlining. Trader pricing reflects this emphasis on consolidation rather than expansion within the calendar year.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new country accepts an invitation to join BRICS between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only new member states, not new partner states, will be considered toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this country will be information from BRICS members (e.g., https://brics.br/en/about-the-brics, etc.); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$38,332
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jan 7, 2026, 5:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 13% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 13¢, the market collectively assigns a 13% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" has generated $38.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" is 13% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 13% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will BRICS add a new member in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.