Ships predictions & odds

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

$41.3K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

77%

20-39

$41.3K Vol.

$55.0K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?

$20.3K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

63%

10+

$20.3K Vol.

$62.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Houthis

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of September?

$14.5K Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

47%

<25

$14.5K Vol.

$58.8K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?

$2.5K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

23%

<20

$2.5K Vol.

$39.3K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31?

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

30+

$172K Vol.

$89.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?

$13.7K Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

48%

5-10

$13.7K Vol.

$47.7K Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?

$38.8K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

19%

$38.8K Vol.

$46.3K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of August?

$109K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

98%

0-20

$109K Vol.

$51.0K Liq.

Geopolitics·Houthis

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 7?

$36.5K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

33%

170-189

$36.5K Vol.

$23.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 days

Geopolitics·Iran

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

$785K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

32%

October 31

$785K Vol.

$22.7K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Houthis

Avg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of August?

$37.6K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

71%

25-29

$37.6K Vol.

$27.5K Liq.

Geopolitics·Houthis

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?

$34.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

40%

190-209

$34.5K Vol.

$12.2K Liq.

Ends in 1 day

Politics·United States

Canada imposes Welland Canal toll on US ships by September 30?

$559 Vol.

$421 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

$559 Vol.

$421 Liq.

Ends in 25 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

$10M Vol.

$398K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

27%

$10M Vol.

$398K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Iran

Iran successfully targets shipping by...?

$20.8K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

94%

August 31

$20.8K Vol.

$29.2K Liq.

Geopolitics·Iran

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

$26M Vol.

$363K today

$883K Liq.

548

Ends in 4 months

59%

December 31

$26M Vol.

$363K today

$883K Liq.

548

Ends in 4 months

Geopolitics·Cape Of Good Hope

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

$12M Vol.

$52.1K today

$340K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

17%

December 31

$12M Vol.

$52.1K today

$340K Liq.

249

Ends in 4 months

Tech·Big Tech

Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…?

$66.9K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

54%

December 31, 2027

$66.9K Vol.

$8.2K Liq.

Ends in over 1 year

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

$8M Vol.

$342K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

$8M Vol.

$342K Liq.

Ends in 24 days

Geopolitics·Iran

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?

$1M Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

$1M Vol.

$128K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

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Event Status

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Ships.

Polymarket currently hosts 500 active markets for Ships that lets you track or trade on predictions like “How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $59.3M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 59% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Ships predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.

Polymarket is accurate more than 94% of the time an entire month before an outcome is definitively known. Prediction markets aggregate wisdom from informed users, often outperforming experts. For more context, view these stats on Polymarket’s accuracy.

Yes. You can treat this page as a live data source and watch how the odds for Ships shift in real-time. It’s a free way to track market sentiment on major outcomes like “US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?” without ever needing to place a trade.

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Ships prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Market resolution relies on trusted or official data sources. For complete clarity, you can check the “Rules” section on any individual market page like “How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?,” to see the exact criteria and sources used to determine the winner.

Frequently Asked Questions

Sign up and fund your account with crypto, credit/debit card, or bank transfer. Browse the Ships prediction markets, and when you’re ready you can buy shares in your picks.

Ships predictions & odds

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Ships prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Ships markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Ships prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Ships predictions?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is Polymarket?

What types of Ships prediction markets can I trade on Polymarket?

How do Ships markets work on Polymarket?

What is the current top Ships prediction?

Why use Polymarket for Ships predictions?

How accurate are Polymarket’s Ships odds?

Can I track Ships predictions without trading?

How do I get started with Ships markets on Polymarket?

How are markets resolved?

Ships predictions & odds