Recent polling shows Delegado André David (Republicanos) holding a modest lead in vote intentions for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with shares around 15-19% compared to 9-12% for Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos). High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates, often exceeding 20-70% depending on the survey, keep the field fragmented among 11 registered candidates. Voters select two names, which sustains close competition for first place. Recent confirmations of alliances, including PT’s coalition with PSD and União Brasil, and the start of official campaigning after August registrations have not yet produced decisive separation. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDelegado André David 43%
Rogerio Carvalho 31.0%
André Moura 24.4%
Delegado Alessandro 8.4%
$29,004 Vol.
$29,004 Vol.

Delegado André David
43%

Rogerio Carvalho
29%

André Moura
23%

Delegado Alessandro
17%

Eduardo Amorim
2%

Rodrigo Valadares
2%

Iran Barbosa
2%

Edvaldo
1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%

Renatinha
<1%
Delegado André David 43%
Rogerio Carvalho 31.0%
André Moura 24.4%
Delegado Alessandro 8.4%
$29,004 Vol.
$29,004 Vol.

Delegado André David
43%

Rogerio Carvalho
29%

André Moura
23%

Delegado Alessandro
17%

Eduardo Amorim
2%

Rodrigo Valadares
2%

Iran Barbosa
2%

Edvaldo
1%

Coronel Rocha
<1%

Paulinho da União Tur
<1%

Renatinha
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows Delegado André David (Republicanos) holding a modest lead in vote intentions for Sergipe’s two Senate seats, with shares around 15-19% compared to 9-12% for Rogério Carvalho (PT), André Moura (União Brasil), Delegado Alessandro (MDB), and Eduardo Amorim (Republicanos). High undecided and spontaneous non-response rates, often exceeding 20-70% depending on the survey, keep the field fragmented among 11 registered candidates. Voters select two names, which sustains close competition for first place. Recent confirmations of alliances, including PT’s coalition with PSD and União Brasil, and the start of official campaigning after August registrations have not yet produced decisive separation. Trader pricing reflects these narrow polling gaps and uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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