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icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

icon for Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place

Veneziano 60%

Nabor 25%

Joao Azevêdo 5.4%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.9%

Polymarket

$15,964 Vol.

Veneziano 60%

Nabor 25%

Joao Azevêdo 5.4%

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga 3.9%

Polymarket

$15,964 Vol.

icon for Veneziano

Veneziano

$8,640 Vol.

60%

icon for Nabor

Nabor

$3,272 Vol.

25%

icon for Joao Azevêdo

Joao Azevêdo

$425 Vol.

8%

icon for Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

Dr. Marcelo Queiroga

$519 Vol.

4%

icon for Adriano Trajano

Adriano Trajano

$1,447 Vol.

4%

icon for André Gadelha

André Gadelha

$363 Vol.

1%

icon for Major Fábio

Major Fábio

$339 Vol.

1%

icon for Rosilene Santana

Rosilene Santana

$313 Vol.

1%

icon for Rinaldo Júnior

Rinaldo Júnior

$276 Vol.

<1%

icon for João Batista

João Batista

$370 Vol.

<1%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-vote intentions for Paraíba’s two Senate seats at 27-32%, ahead of incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-25%. This gap underpins trader consensus favoring Veneziano for second place, given his established name recognition, MDB coalition backing, and positioning as the clearest alternative to Azevêdo. Trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Marcelo Queiroga (PL), and Major Fábio (Novo) register single digits and lack comparable momentum. With the October 4 election still weeks away and high undecided shares in surveys, late shifts in turnout or alliances could narrow margins, though current data sustain Veneziano’s lead for the secondary slot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,964
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from late August 2026 shows former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) leading consolidated first- and second-vote intentions for Paraíba’s two Senate seats at 27-32%, ahead of incumbent Veneziano Vital do Rêgo (MDB) at 17-25%. This gap underpins trader consensus favoring Veneziano for second place, given his established name recognition, MDB coalition backing, and positioning as the clearest alternative to Azevêdo. Trailing candidates such as Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos), Marcelo Queiroga (PL), and Major Fábio (Novo) register single digits and lack comparable momentum. With the October 4 election still weeks away and high undecided shares in surveys, late shifts in turnout or alliances could narrow margins, though current data sustain Veneziano’s lead for the secondary slot.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Paraíba is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$15,964
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:12 AM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Veneziano" at 60%, followed by "Nabor" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" has generated $16K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" is "Veneziano" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nabor" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Paraíba Senate Election: 2nd Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.