Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and typical early-September variability around the long-term average maximum of 23–27°C. Stable high pressure and dry air support modest daytime warming without significant model divergence or sudden changes in steering patterns. Updated runs and official briefings on the day of will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 6?
29°C 36%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
7%
28°C
23%
29°C
36%
30°C
24%
31°C
6%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 24%
28°C 23%
27°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 6, 2026
25°C or below
$120 Vol.
2%
26°C
$188 Vol.
3%
27°C
$65 Vol.
7%
28°C
$599 Vol.
23%
29°C
$308 Vol.
36%
30°C
$580 Vol.
24%
31°C
$451 Vol.
6%
32°C
$83 Vol.
4%
33°C
$151 Vol.
1%
34°C
$341 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and typical early-September variability around the long-term average maximum of 23–27°C. Stable high pressure and dry air support modest daytime warming without significant model divergence or sudden changes in steering patterns. Updated runs and official briefings on the day of will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$3,327End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and typical early-September variability around the long-term average maximum of 23–27°C. Stable high pressure and dry air support modest daytime warming without significant model divergence or sudden changes in steering patterns. Updated runs and official briefings on the day of will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,327End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a high near 29–31°C for Istanbul on September 6 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light southwesterly winds shifting northerly, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions 29°C as the leading outcome in trader consensus, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting the narrow spread in ensemble guidance and typical early-September variability around the long-term average maximum of 23–27°C. Stable high pressure and dry air support modest daytime warming without significant model divergence or sudden changes in steering patterns. Updated runs and official briefings on the day of will refine exact peak readings for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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