Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Goiás at the October 4 first round, reflecting his role as the primary national conservative candidate backed by Liberal Party structures and Bolsonarista voter networks in the center-west agribusiness region. Recent state-level surveys, including Quaest from late August, show former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado ahead or tied locally at around 32% due to his two-term record and rural support, though national polls keep Caiado in low single digits overall and highlight Flávio's consolidation among right-leaning voters. Lula trails significantly in the state amid broader polarization, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Market positioning appears driven by expectations of conservative consolidation behind the PL nominee despite local polling dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás
Flavio Bolsonaro 84%
Ronaldo Caiado 9%
Lula 2.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$52,047 Vol.
$52,047 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
84%
Ronaldo Caiado
9%
Lula
3%
Clariana Barao
<1%
Edmilson Costa
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%
Hertz Dias
<1%
Pablo Marçal
<1%
Renan Santos
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
<1%
Samara
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
<1%
Zema
<1%
Flavio Bolsonaro 84%
Ronaldo Caiado 9%
Lula 2.8%
Clariana Barao <1%
$52,047 Vol.
$52,047 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$25,331 Vol.
84%
Ronaldo Caiado
$13,855 Vol.
9%
Lula
$6,432 Vol.
3%
Clariana Barao
$469 Vol.
<1%
Edmilson Costa
$458 Vol.
<1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$494 Vol.
<1%
Hertz Dias
$519 Vol.
<1%
Pablo Marçal
$2,154 Vol.
<1%
Renan Santos
$570 Vol.
<1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$385 Vol.
<1%
Samara
$398 Vol.
<1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$537 Vol.
<1%
Zema
$444 Vol.
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Goiás at the October 4 first round, reflecting his role as the primary national conservative candidate backed by Liberal Party structures and Bolsonarista voter networks in the center-west agribusiness region. Recent state-level surveys, including Quaest from late August, show former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado ahead or tied locally at around 32% due to his two-term record and rural support, though national polls keep Caiado in low single digits overall and highlight Flávio's consolidation among right-leaning voters. Lula trails significantly in the state amid broader polarization, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Market positioning appears driven by expectations of conservative consolidation behind the PL nominee despite local polling dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Volume
$52,047End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Goiás at the October 4 first round, reflecting his role as the primary national conservative candidate backed by Liberal Party structures and Bolsonarista voter networks in the center-west agribusiness region. Recent state-level surveys, including Quaest from late August, show former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado ahead or tied locally at around 32% due to his two-term record and rural support, though national polls keep Caiado in low single digits overall and highlight Flávio's consolidation among right-leaning voters. Lula trails significantly in the state amid broader polarization, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Market positioning appears driven by expectations of conservative consolidation behind the PL nominee despite local polling dynamics.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Goiás, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Goiás.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Goiás. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$52,047End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 6:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Flávio Bolsonaro leads trader consensus for first place in Goiás at the October 4 first round, reflecting his role as the primary national conservative candidate backed by Liberal Party structures and Bolsonarista voter networks in the center-west agribusiness region. Recent state-level surveys, including Quaest from late August, show former Goiás governor Ronaldo Caiado ahead or tied locally at around 32% due to his two-term record and rural support, though national polls keep Caiado in low single digits overall and highlight Flávio's consolidation among right-leaning voters. Lula trails significantly in the state amid broader polarization, while minor candidates register negligible shares. Market positioning appears driven by expectations of conservative consolidation behind the PL nominee despite local polling dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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