Trump’s approval rating has remained subdued in 2026 amid ongoing economic pressures and the Iran conflict, with aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and FiveThirtyEight showing figures clustered around 35-40 percent approval and net ratings near -20 as of early September. Ratings declined steadily from an initial 47 percent at the start of the term, pressured by inflation concerns, elevated gas prices tied to Middle East developments, and public skepticism over military involvement. Recent polls through July and August recorded lows near 32-34 percent in several surveys before modest stabilization. Diplomatic efforts around the Strait of Hormuz and any pre-midterm economic data releases could influence short-term movement through December, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited upward volatility this late in the calendar year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
5%
↑ 46%
11%
↑ 47%
16%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
$7,741 Vol.
↑ 44%
$3,319 Vol.
6%
↑ 45%
$320 Vol.
5%
↑ 46%
$1,112 Vol.
11%
↑ 47%
$480 Vol.
16%
↑ 48%
$779 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$656 Vol.
4%
↑ 50%
$1,075 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has remained subdued in 2026 amid ongoing economic pressures and the Iran conflict, with aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and FiveThirtyEight showing figures clustered around 35-40 percent approval and net ratings near -20 as of early September. Ratings declined steadily from an initial 47 percent at the start of the term, pressured by inflation concerns, elevated gas prices tied to Middle East developments, and public skepticism over military involvement. Recent polls through July and August recorded lows near 32-34 percent in several surveys before modest stabilization. Diplomatic efforts around the Strait of Hormuz and any pre-midterm economic data releases could influence short-term movement through December, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited upward volatility this late in the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$7,741End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has remained subdued in 2026 amid ongoing economic pressures and the Iran conflict, with aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and FiveThirtyEight showing figures clustered around 35-40 percent approval and net ratings near -20 as of early September. Ratings declined steadily from an initial 47 percent at the start of the term, pressured by inflation concerns, elevated gas prices tied to Middle East developments, and public skepticism over military involvement. Recent polls through July and August recorded lows near 32-34 percent in several surveys before modest stabilization. Diplomatic efforts around the Strait of Hormuz and any pre-midterm economic data releases could influence short-term movement through December, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited upward volatility this late in the calendar year.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$7,741End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has remained subdued in 2026 amid ongoing economic pressures and the Iran conflict, with aggregates from sources including Silver Bulletin, RealClearPolitics, and FiveThirtyEight showing figures clustered around 35-40 percent approval and net ratings near -20 as of early September. Ratings declined steadily from an initial 47 percent at the start of the term, pressured by inflation concerns, elevated gas prices tied to Middle East developments, and public skepticism over military involvement. Recent polls through July and August recorded lows near 32-34 percent in several surveys before modest stabilization. Diplomatic efforts around the Strait of Hormuz and any pre-midterm economic data releases could influence short-term movement through December, though historical patterns for second-term presidents show limited upward volatility this late in the calendar year.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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