Traders see moderate X activity as the baseline driver for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the September 5–7 window, with the 40–64 range holding the clearest edge at 54.5% implied probability. Recent trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–50 posts daily amid steady Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, though weekends typically see lighter output without breaking news or high-stakes events. The absence of major political flashpoints or product launches this Labor Day period supports the market’s lean toward the mid-range bucket rather than spikes above 90. Any surprise announcement or viral thread could shift momentum, but current momentum points to consistent, not elevated, engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated40-64 55%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 3.7%
$132,284 Vol.
$132,284 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
17%
40-64
55%
65-89
27%
90-114
4%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 27%
<40 17%
90-114 3.7%
$132,284 Vol.
$132,284 Vol.
Sep 7, 2026
<40
$27,067 Vol.
17%
40-64
$20,396 Vol.
55%
65-89
$16,155 Vol.
27%
90-114
$13,341 Vol.
4%
115-139
$20,629 Vol.
1%
140-164
$15,173 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$7,426 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,329 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$4,303 Vol.
<1%
240+
$1,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see moderate X activity as the baseline driver for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the September 5–7 window, with the 40–64 range holding the clearest edge at 54.5% implied probability. Recent trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–50 posts daily amid steady Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, though weekends typically see lighter output without breaking news or high-stakes events. The absence of major political flashpoints or product launches this Labor Day period supports the market’s lean toward the mid-range bucket rather than spikes above 90. Any surprise announcement or viral thread could shift momentum, but current momentum points to consistent, not elevated, engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$132,284End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see moderate X activity as the baseline driver for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the September 5–7 window, with the 40–64 range holding the clearest edge at 54.5% implied probability. Recent trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–50 posts daily amid steady Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, though weekends typically see lighter output without breaking news or high-stakes events. The absence of major political flashpoints or product launches this Labor Day period supports the market’s lean toward the mid-range bucket rather than spikes above 90. Any surprise announcement or viral thread could shift momentum, but current momentum points to consistent, not elevated, engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 5 12:00 PM ET to September 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$132,284End Date
Sep 7, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see moderate X activity as the baseline driver for Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the September 5–7 window, with the 40–64 range holding the clearest edge at 54.5% implied probability. Recent trackers show Musk averaging roughly 30–50 posts daily amid steady Tesla Cybercab updates, SpaceX milestones, and platform commentary, though weekends typically see lighter output without breaking news or high-stakes events. The absence of major political flashpoints or product launches this Labor Day period supports the market’s lean toward the mid-range bucket rather than spikes above 90. Any surprise announcement or viral thread could shift momentum, but current momentum points to consistent, not elevated, engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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