Strong theatrical holds following its record $360 million domestic opening have driven trader consensus toward the 940-950 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's domestic total by September 30. The film reached approximately $904 million by early September while maintaining the top spot for a sixth weekend, supported by consistent daily earnings and favorable Labor Day holiday timing. Industry models project final domestic totals between $907 million and $982 million, reflecting solid legs and limited competition through the fall. With roughly three additional weeks of play remaining before the cutoff, momentum favors crossing into the low 950s by month-end, though softer-than-expected weekday drops could keep results closer to the 940 million threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
940 - 950m 72%
950 - 960m 25%
<940m 4.5%
970m+ 1.6%
$189,068 Vol.
$189,068 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
5%
940 - 950m
72%
950 - 960m
25%
960 - 970m
1%
970m+
2%
940 - 950m 72%
950 - 960m 25%
<940m 4.5%
970m+ 1.6%
$189,068 Vol.
$189,068 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<940m
$68,910 Vol.
5%
940 - 950m
$40,061 Vol.
72%
950 - 960m
$41,645 Vol.
25%
960 - 970m
$18,678 Vol.
1%
970m+
$19,774 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong theatrical holds following its record $360 million domestic opening have driven trader consensus toward the 940-950 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's domestic total by September 30. The film reached approximately $904 million by early September while maintaining the top spot for a sixth weekend, supported by consistent daily earnings and favorable Labor Day holiday timing. Industry models project final domestic totals between $907 million and $982 million, reflecting solid legs and limited competition through the fall. With roughly three additional weeks of play remaining before the cutoff, momentum favors crossing into the low 950s by month-end, though softer-than-expected weekday drops could keep results closer to the 940 million threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Volume
$189,068End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Strong theatrical holds following its record $360 million domestic opening have driven trader consensus toward the 940-950 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's domestic total by September 30. The film reached approximately $904 million by early September while maintaining the top spot for a sixth weekend, supported by consistent daily earnings and favorable Labor Day holiday timing. Industry models project final domestic totals between $907 million and $982 million, reflecting solid legs and limited competition through the fall. With roughly three additional weeks of play remaining before the cutoff, momentum favors crossing into the low 950s by month-end, though softer-than-expected weekday drops could keep results closer to the 940 million threshold.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" box office will gross domestically by September 30, 2026. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for all dates between opening (July 31, 2026) and September 30, 2026 are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Box Office Performance until and including September 30, 2026, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$189,068End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 8:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong theatrical holds following its record $360 million domestic opening have driven trader consensus toward the 940-950 million range for Spider-Man: Brand New Day's domestic total by September 30. The film reached approximately $904 million by early September while maintaining the top spot for a sixth weekend, supported by consistent daily earnings and favorable Labor Day holiday timing. Industry models project final domestic totals between $907 million and $982 million, reflecting solid legs and limited competition through the fall. With roughly three additional weeks of play remaining before the cutoff, momentum favors crossing into the low 950s by month-end, though softer-than-expected weekday drops could keep results closer to the 940 million threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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