Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues its record domestic run into a sixth weekend, with projections pointing to roughly $17–22 million over the frame amid a quiet holiday period. Exceptional word-of-mouth, a 98% audience score, and an A CinemaScore have fueled strong legs, allowing the film to hold the top spot while crossing $900 million domestically faster than any prior release and chasing the all-time record. Limited new competition from titles like By Any Means supports the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 15 million-plus weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharper-than-expected drop or unforeseen external factors disrupting the holiday bump.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office
15m+ 98.5%
14-15m 1.0%
13-14m <1%
<11m <1%
$28,664 Vol.
$28,664 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
<1%
11-12m
<1%
12-13m
<1%
13-14m
<1%
14-15m
1%
15m+
99%
15m+ 98.5%
14-15m 1.0%
13-14m <1%
<11m <1%
$28,664 Vol.
$28,664 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<11m
$1,709 Vol.
<1%
11-12m
$1,802 Vol.
<1%
12-13m
$1,653 Vol.
<1%
13-14m
$3,341 Vol.
<1%
14-15m
$5,724 Vol.
1%
15m+
$14,435 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues its record domestic run into a sixth weekend, with projections pointing to roughly $17–22 million over the frame amid a quiet holiday period. Exceptional word-of-mouth, a 98% audience score, and an A CinemaScore have fueled strong legs, allowing the film to hold the top spot while crossing $900 million domestically faster than any prior release and chasing the all-time record. Limited new competition from titles like By Any Means supports the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 15 million-plus weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharper-than-expected drop or unforeseen external factors disrupting the holiday bump.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$28,664End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues its record domestic run into a sixth weekend, with projections pointing to roughly $17–22 million over the frame amid a quiet holiday period. Exceptional word-of-mouth, a 98% audience score, and an A CinemaScore have fueled strong legs, allowing the film to hold the top spot while crossing $900 million domestically faster than any prior release and chasing the all-time record. Limited new competition from titles like By Any Means supports the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 15 million-plus weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharper-than-expected drop or unforeseen external factors disrupting the holiday bump.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its 6th weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$28,664End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Spider-Man: Brand New Day continues its record domestic run into a sixth weekend, with projections pointing to roughly $17–22 million over the frame amid a quiet holiday period. Exceptional word-of-mouth, a 98% audience score, and an A CinemaScore have fueled strong legs, allowing the film to hold the top spot while crossing $900 million domestically faster than any prior release and chasing the all-time record. Limited new competition from titles like By Any Means supports the market’s overwhelming 98.5% implied probability for a 15 million-plus weekend. An upset below that threshold would require a sharper-than-expected drop or unforeseen external factors disrupting the holiday bump.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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