Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner

The Odyssey 54%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 10%

Polymarket

$140,590 Vol.

The Odyssey 54%

Dune: Part Three 16%

La Bola Negra 12%

Wild Horse Nine 10%

Polymarket

$140,590 Vol.

The Odyssey

$97,068 Vol.

54%

Dune: Part Three

$13,266 Vol.

16%

La Bola Negra

$1,515 Vol.

12%

Wild Horse Nine

$6,128 Vol.

10%

Fjord

$3,499 Vol.

6%

Digger

$4,457 Vol.

5%

Project Hail Mary

$2,182 Vol.

3%

The Debut

$2,449 Vol.

1%

The Invite

$399 Vol.

1%

Tony

$2,566 Vol.

1%

Michael

$534 Vol.

1%

Disclosure Day

$433 Vol.

1%

The Adventures of Cliff Booth

$406 Vol.

1%

Avengers: Doomsday

$538 Vol.

1%

The Social Reckoning

$381 Vol.

<1%

Behemoth!

$2,453 Vol.

<1%

Clarissa

$351 Vol.

<1%

Josephine

$483 Vol.

<1%

All of a Sudden

$386 Vol.

<1%

The Drama

$356 Vol.

<1%

Fatherland

$367 Vol.

<1%

Saturn Return

$371 Vol.

<1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the 2027 Best Picture market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by its July 2026 release delivering Christopher Nolan’s highest Rotten Tomatoes score to date at 94%, along with over $1.6 billion in global box office. Traders see its blend of critical acclaim, technical ambition, and proven awards momentum from Oppenheimer as setting it apart from the crowded field. Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine trail at 15.5%, 11.5%, and 9.5% respectively, reflecting their later release windows and reliance on upcoming festival and guild momentum. With nominations still months away, the race hinges on sustained campaign visibility and precursor results, where historical patterns favor films with early theatrical dominance.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$140,590
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Odyssey leads the 2027 Best Picture market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by its July 2026 release delivering Christopher Nolan’s highest Rotten Tomatoes score to date at 94%, along with over $1.6 billion in global box office. Traders see its blend of critical acclaim, technical ambition, and proven awards momentum from Oppenheimer as setting it apart from the crowded field. Dune: Part Three, La Bola Negra, and Wild Horse Nine trail at 15.5%, 11.5%, and 9.5% respectively, reflecting their later release windows and reliance on upcoming festival and guild momentum. With nominations still months away, the race hinges on sustained campaign visibility and precursor results, where historical patterns favor films with early theatrical dominance.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.

If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$140,590
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 27, 2026, 11:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

98%
icon for Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

27%
icon for Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards?

61%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Odyssey" at 54%, followed by "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" has generated $140.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" is "The Odyssey" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Dune: Part Three" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.