The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability stems from its status as the reigning Outstanding Drama Series winner, bolstered by a leading 25 Emmy nominations for Season 2 and broad industry momentum. The HBO Max medical drama earned strong precursor support through its realistic portrayal of emergency care, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and expanded acting recognition across the ensemble. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders see limited room for an upset unless academy voters pivot toward a newcomer like Pluribus for its critical pedigree or historical fatigue with repeats sets in. Other nominees, including Slow Horses and The Diplomat, trail significantly due to fewer nominations and less dominant recent buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding drama series
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.4%
“Slow Horses” 1.9%
“The Gilded Age” 1.7%
$26,067 Vol.
$26,067 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
2%
“Slow Horses”
2%
“The Gilded Age”
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
2%
"The Diplomat"
2%
“Paradise”
1%
“The Pitt” 94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms” 2.4%
“Slow Horses” 1.9%
“The Gilded Age” 1.7%
$26,067 Vol.
$26,067 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Pitt”
$19,046 Vol.
94%
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”
$861 Vol.
2%
“Slow Horses”
$2,275 Vol.
2%
“The Gilded Age”
$931 Vol.
2%
“Your Friends & Neighbors”
$1,247 Vol.
2%
"The Diplomat"
$856 Vol.
2%
“Paradise”
$851 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability stems from its status as the reigning Outstanding Drama Series winner, bolstered by a leading 25 Emmy nominations for Season 2 and broad industry momentum. The HBO Max medical drama earned strong precursor support through its realistic portrayal of emergency care, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and expanded acting recognition across the ensemble. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders see limited room for an upset unless academy voters pivot toward a newcomer like Pluribus for its critical pedigree or historical fatigue with repeats sets in. Other nominees, including Slow Horses and The Diplomat, trail significantly due to fewer nominations and less dominant recent buzz.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ET
Volume
$26,067End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability stems from its status as the reigning Outstanding Drama Series winner, bolstered by a leading 25 Emmy nominations for Season 2 and broad industry momentum. The HBO Max medical drama earned strong precursor support through its realistic portrayal of emergency care, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and expanded acting recognition across the ensemble. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders see limited room for an upset unless academy voters pivot toward a newcomer like Pluribus for its critical pedigree or historical fatigue with repeats sets in. Other nominees, including Slow Horses and The Diplomat, trail significantly due to fewer nominations and less dominant recent buzz.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$26,067End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pitt’s commanding 93.5% market-implied probability stems from its status as the reigning Outstanding Drama Series winner, bolstered by a leading 25 Emmy nominations for Season 2 and broad industry momentum. The HBO Max medical drama earned strong precursor support through its realistic portrayal of emergency care, Noah Wyle’s lead performance, and expanded acting recognition across the ensemble. With final voting concluded and the Sept. 14 ceremony imminent, traders see limited room for an upset unless academy voters pivot toward a newcomer like Pluribus for its critical pedigree or historical fatigue with repeats sets in. Other nominees, including Slow Horses and The Diplomat, trail significantly due to fewer nominations and less dominant recent buzz.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions