Colman Domingo’s 40.5% market-implied odds reflect his established awards profile and the critical impact of his Euphoria guest turn, building on his prior Emmy win in the category. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober—split support from the show’s dominant 25-nomination haul, while Jeff Hiller benefits from Pluribus’s strong precursor buzz and Jeff Hiller’s scene-stealing work. Jonathan Pryce and Bradley Whitford trail amid broader field competition. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, trader consensus favors Domingo’s name recognition and single-episode resonance over split-show momentum or newer frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 40%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 15.6%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 14.5%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 13.2%
$74,761 Vol.
$74,761 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
40%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
16%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
14%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
13%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
9%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
3%
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 40%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 15.6%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 14.5%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt” 13.2%
$74,761 Vol.
$74,761 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”
$43,246 Vol.
40%
Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”
$8,231 Vol.
16%
Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”
$10,953 Vol.
14%
Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”
$5,403 Vol.
13%
Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”
$4,053 Vol.
9%
Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”
$2,875 Vol.
3%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo’s 40.5% market-implied odds reflect his established awards profile and the critical impact of his Euphoria guest turn, building on his prior Emmy win in the category. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober—split support from the show’s dominant 25-nomination haul, while Jeff Hiller benefits from Pluribus’s strong precursor buzz and Jeff Hiller’s scene-stealing work. Jonathan Pryce and Bradley Whitford trail amid broader field competition. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, trader consensus favors Domingo’s name recognition and single-episode resonance over split-show momentum or newer frontrunners.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
Volume
$74,761End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo’s 40.5% market-implied odds reflect his established awards profile and the critical impact of his Euphoria guest turn, building on his prior Emmy win in the category. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober—split support from the show’s dominant 25-nomination haul, while Jeff Hiller benefits from Pluribus’s strong precursor buzz and Jeff Hiller’s scene-stealing work. Jonathan Pryce and Bradley Whitford trail amid broader field competition. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, trader consensus favors Domingo’s name recognition and single-episode resonance over split-show momentum or newer frontrunners.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$74,761End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colman Domingo’s 40.5% market-implied odds reflect his established awards profile and the critical impact of his Euphoria guest turn, building on his prior Emmy win in the category. The Pitt’s dual nominees—Ernest Harden Jr. and Jeff Kober—split support from the show’s dominant 25-nomination haul, while Jeff Hiller benefits from Pluribus’s strong precursor buzz and Jeff Hiller’s scene-stealing work. Jonathan Pryce and Bradley Whitford trail amid broader field competition. With final voting concluded and the September 14 ceremony days away, trader consensus favors Domingo’s name recognition and single-episode resonance over split-show momentum or newer frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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