The Traitors dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in the category, a Critics Choice Real TV sweep, and multiple Creative Arts victories including costumes this cycle. Alan Cumming’s hosting and the Peacock series’ fresh murder-mystery format have delivered consistent critical and guild momentum that veteran nominees lack. Survivor’s milestone 50th season and Dancing with the Stars’ return after an 11-year absence generate some discussion but face steep historical barriers in the category. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the market consensus reflects the academy’s recent preference for The Traitors’ production quality and narrative innovation over longevity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
“The Traitors” 89.4%
“Survivor” 5.3%
“Dancing with the Stars” 3.5%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.3%
$31,972 Vol.
$31,972 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
89%
“Survivor”
5%
“Dancing with the Stars”
4%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
3%
“Top Chef”
1%
“The Traitors” 89.4%
“Survivor” 5.3%
“Dancing with the Stars” 3.5%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 3.3%
$31,972 Vol.
$31,972 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
$14,901 Vol.
89%
“Survivor”
$9,767 Vol.
5%
“Dancing with the Stars”
$1,702 Vol.
4%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
$4,060 Vol.
3%
“Top Chef”
$1,542 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in the category, a Critics Choice Real TV sweep, and multiple Creative Arts victories including costumes this cycle. Alan Cumming’s hosting and the Peacock series’ fresh murder-mystery format have delivered consistent critical and guild momentum that veteran nominees lack. Survivor’s milestone 50th season and Dancing with the Stars’ return after an 11-year absence generate some discussion but face steep historical barriers in the category. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the market consensus reflects the academy’s recent preference for The Traitors’ production quality and narrative innovation over longevity.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$31,972End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in the category, a Critics Choice Real TV sweep, and multiple Creative Arts victories including costumes this cycle. Alan Cumming’s hosting and the Peacock series’ fresh murder-mystery format have delivered consistent critical and guild momentum that veteran nominees lack. Survivor’s milestone 50th season and Dancing with the Stars’ return after an 11-year absence generate some discussion but face steep historical barriers in the category. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the market consensus reflects the academy’s recent preference for The Traitors’ production quality and narrative innovation over longevity.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$31,972End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors dominates trader sentiment for the 2026 Emmy for Outstanding Reality Competition Program at 89.5% implied probability, driven by its back-to-back wins in the category, a Critics Choice Real TV sweep, and multiple Creative Arts victories including costumes this cycle. Alan Cumming’s hosting and the Peacock series’ fresh murder-mystery format have delivered consistent critical and guild momentum that veteran nominees lack. Survivor’s milestone 50th season and Dancing with the Stars’ return after an 11-year absence generate some discussion but face steep historical barriers in the category. With final-round voting concluded ahead of the September 14 ceremony, the market consensus reflects the academy’s recent preference for The Traitors’ production quality and narrative innovation over longevity.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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