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icon for America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

icon for America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up

Lara D 51%

LaRussell 51%

ACRO Crew 51%

Daniel Alvarez 51%

Polymarket
NEW

Lara D 51%

LaRussell 51%

ACRO Crew 51%

Daniel Alvarez 51%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Lara D

Lara D

$20 Vol.

51%

icon for LaRussell

LaRussell

$20 Vol.

51%

icon for ACRO Crew

ACRO Crew

$20 Vol.

51%

icon for Daniel Alvarez

Daniel Alvarez

$20 Vol.

51%

icon for Mackenzie Sol

Mackenzie Sol

$20 Vol.

50%

icon for Brook Lynn

Brook Lynn

$20 Vol.

50%

icon for Butter & Grit

Butter & Grit

$20 Vol.

50%

icon for Cesar Dias

Cesar Dias

$20 Vol.

50%

icon for Come Here

Come Here

$20 Vol.

50%

icon for Kameron Marshall

Kameron Marshall

$20 Vol.

48%

icon for Lai Noelle

Lai Noelle

$20 Vol.

46%

icon for Geno Ploeger

Geno Ploeger

$20 Vol.

46%

icon for Royal Lasers

Royal Lasers

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Bird & Byron

Bird & Byron

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Cameron Logsdon

Cameron Logsdon

$20 Vol.

39%

icon for Nene Royal

Nene Royal

$20 Vol.

31%

icon for Hundred Fingers

Hundred Fingers

$20 Vol.

29%

icon for Holland and Sienna

Holland and Sienna

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for James & Marina

James & Marina

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Jesse Joe

Jesse Joe

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Pynk Beard

Pynk Beard

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Akira

Akira

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Brad and Tracy

Brad and Tracy

$93 Vol.

2%

icon for Guy Kelton Jones I

Guy Kelton Jones I

$40 Vol.

2%

icon for Herwan Legaillard

Herwan Legaillard

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Isaac Atkins

Isaac Atkins

$21 Vol.

2%

icon for Jesse White Tumbling Team

Jesse White Tumbling Team

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

Nyjah Music & Zyah Rhythm

$21 Vol.

2%

icon for Patrox

Patrox

$40 Vol.

2%

icon for Sando

Sando

$21 Vol.

2%

icon for The CommUNITY ATL Choir

The CommUNITY ATL Choir

$21 Vol.

2%

icon for Ashford Sanders

Ashford Sanders

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Béty

Béty

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Cris Sosa

Cris Sosa

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Elsie

Elsie

$20 Vol.

2%

icon for Maria

Maria

$14 Vol.

2%

icon for Luke Taleno

Luke Taleno

$11 Vol.

1%

icon for Olivia Befus

Olivia Befus

$40 Vol.

1%

icon for Tyrone and Margo

Tyrone and Margo

$11 Vol.

1%

icon for Unitree

Unitree

$11 Vol.

1%

icon for Veronika Goroshkova

Veronika Goroshkova

$11 Vol.

1%

icon for Young & Strange

Young & Strange

$11 Vol.

1%

icon for Rubén Roldán Bustos

Rubén Roldán Bustos

$11 Vol.

-

icon for Travis Garland

Travis Garland

$11 Vol.

-

This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.The recent announcement of America’s Got Talent Season 21’s Top 44 acts for the live quarterfinals has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with numerous contenders clustered near 50 percent and frontrunners such as Nene Royal, Hundred Fingers, and Rubén Roldán Bustos holding modest edges. This parity stems from the absence of decisive live voting data or standout semifinal momentum, leaving trader consensus shaped by audition Golden Buzzers, judges’ callbacks, and genre diversity ranging from singers and magicians to aerialists and dance troupes. Upcoming quarterfinal results and semifinals on September 15 will likely shift probabilities as audience votes and judge feedback establish clearer frontrunners ahead of the September 23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$948
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.The recent announcement of America’s Got Talent Season 21’s Top 44 acts for the live quarterfinals has produced closely matched market-implied odds, with numerous contenders clustered near 50 percent and frontrunners such as Nene Royal, Hundred Fingers, and Rubén Roldán Bustos holding modest edges. This parity stems from the absence of decisive live voting data or standout semifinal momentum, leaving trader consensus shaped by audition Golden Buzzers, judges’ callbacks, and genre diversity ranging from singers and magicians to aerialists and dance troupes. Upcoming quarterfinal results and semifinals on September 15 will likely shift probabilities as audience votes and judge feedback establish clearer frontrunners ahead of the September 23 finale.

This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21.

Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.This market will resolve to the act who finishes as the runner-up of America’s Got Talent (AGT) Season 21. Acts will be ranked primarily by their result in the Finals. If any two acts jointly receive the same result, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the acts’ listed names. This market will resolve to the act that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If an act is disqualified or eliminated from competition in the Quarterfinals or Semifinals, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. If AGT Season 21 concludes without a winning act being declared, or if AGT Season 21 has otherwise not concluded by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be footage from America’s Got Talent.
Volume
$948
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

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Will Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?

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icon for Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?

Will Unitree advance to the Semifinals or Finals of AGT Season 21 during the Quarterfinals?

61%
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Frequently Asked Questions

"America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Nene Royal" at 31%, followed by "Hundred Fingers" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 13, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up" is "Nene Royal" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hundred Fingers" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "America's Got Talent S21: Runner-Up" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.