Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress reflects broad uncertainty, with Anne Hathaway holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid a field of longshots and many options priced near even money. No 2026 releases have yet generated decisive guild or critics' momentum, leaving room for late-year performances to shift narratives. Historical patterns show supporting categories often reward breakout roles in prestige dramas or ensemble films that gain traction through precursors like SAG-AFTRA and critics' groups. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, year-end awards contenders, and eventual guild nominations that typically clarify frontrunners by early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Winner
Anne Hathaway 36%
Penélope Cruz 17%
Sandra Hüller 8.4%
Zendaya 6.2%
$15,531 Vol.
$15,531 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
36%
Penélope Cruz
17%
Sandra Hüller
8%
Zendaya
6%
Mariana di Girolamo
8%
Betty Gilpin
6%
Tao Okamoto
5%
Margaret Qualley
5%
Parker Posey
5%
Isabella Rossellini
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
4%
Gemma Chan
2%
Inde Navarrette
2%
Anne Hathaway 36%
Penélope Cruz 17%
Sandra Hüller 8.4%
Zendaya 6.2%
$15,531 Vol.
$15,531 Vol.
Mar 14, 2027
Anne Hathaway
$11,742 Vol.
36%
Penélope Cruz
$1,022 Vol.
17%
Sandra Hüller
$404 Vol.
8%
Zendaya
$213 Vol.
6%
Mariana di Girolamo
$286 Vol.
8%
Betty Gilpin
$256 Vol.
6%
Tao Okamoto
$191 Vol.
5%
Margaret Qualley
$233 Vol.
5%
Parker Posey
$292 Vol.
5%
Isabella Rossellini
$70 Vol.
4%
Danielle Deadwyler
$222 Vol.
4%
Gemma Chan
$108 Vol.
2%
Inde Navarrette
$492 Vol.
2%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress reflects broad uncertainty, with Anne Hathaway holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid a field of longshots and many options priced near even money. No 2026 releases have yet generated decisive guild or critics' momentum, leaving room for late-year performances to shift narratives. Historical patterns show supporting categories often reward breakout roles in prestige dramas or ensemble films that gain traction through precursors like SAG-AFTRA and critics' groups. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, year-end awards contenders, and eventual guild nominations that typically clarify frontrunners by early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Volume
$15,531End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress reflects broad uncertainty, with Anne Hathaway holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid a field of longshots and many options priced near even money. No 2026 releases have yet generated decisive guild or critics' momentum, leaving room for late-year performances to shift narratives. Historical patterns show supporting categories often reward breakout roles in prestige dramas or ensemble films that gain traction through precursors like SAG-AFTRA and critics' groups. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, year-end awards contenders, and eventual guild nominations that typically clarify frontrunners by early 2027.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed actress that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress.
If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actress whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,531End Date
Mar 14, 2027Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2027 Oscars cycle, trader sentiment for Best Supporting Actress reflects broad uncertainty, with Anne Hathaway holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid a field of longshots and many options priced near even money. No 2026 releases have yet generated decisive guild or critics' momentum, leaving room for late-year performances to shift narratives. Historical patterns show supporting categories often reward breakout roles in prestige dramas or ensemble films that gain traction through precursors like SAG-AFTRA and critics' groups. Key upcoming catalysts include fall festival premieres, year-end awards contenders, and eventual guild nominations that typically clarify frontrunners by early 2027.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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