Skip to main content

To trade in the US, go to polymarket.us

icon for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Rookie of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Sal Stewart 85%

Nolan McLean 8.5%

JJ Wetherholt 3.1%

Carson Benge 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,015,085 Vol.

Sal Stewart 85%

Nolan McLean 8.5%

JJ Wetherholt 3.1%

Carson Benge 1.0%

Polymarket

$1,015,085 Vol.

Sal Stewart

$34,534 Vol.

85%

Nolan McLean

$9,731 Vol.

9%

JJ Wetherholt

$31,373 Vol.

3%

Carson Benge

$4,893 Vol.

1%

Bryce Eldridge

$5,728 Vol.

1%

Didier Fuentes

$200,772 Vol.

<1%

Bubba Chandler

$125,129 Vol.

<1%

Owen Caissie

$563,386 Vol.

<1%

Justin Crawford

$2,166 Vol.

<1%

Rhett Lowder

$1,465 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Waldschmidt

$832 Vol.

<1%

Robby Snelling

$960 Vol.

<1%

TJ Rumfield

$1,601 Vol.

<1%

A.J. Ewing

$231 Vol.

<1%

Konnor Griffin

$21,976 Vol.

<1%

Logan Henderson

$1,546 Vol.

<1%

Jonah Tong

$775 Vol.

<1%

Charlie Condon

$687 Vol.

<1%

Zac Veen

$1,886 Vol.

<1%

Moises Ballesteros

$2,753 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Painter

$903 Vol.

<1%

Jett Williams

$1,525 Vol.

<1%

Esmerlyn Valdez

$231 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart has surged to a dominant position in the NL Rookie of the Year market through elite power production and run production as the Cincinnati Reds first baseman. Entering September he leads MLB with 105-plus RBIs while slugging 31 home runs, a .268 average, and strong extra-base output that places him on pace to become the first rookie since Walt Dropo in 1950 to pace the majors in RBIs. No rookie since the award’s 1947 inception has posted a 30-homer, 100-RBI season without winning the honor. Recent late-August and early-September performance has extended his lead, while contenders such as Mets starter Nolan McLean and injured Cardinals second baseman JJ Wetherholt trail due to comparatively lower counting stats or missed time from wrist tendinitis. A late surge by McLean or heavy voter weighting of defensive WAR could narrow the gap, though Stewart’s historical profile and sustained production anchor current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,015,085
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Sal Stewart has surged to a dominant position in the NL Rookie of the Year market through elite power production and run production as the Cincinnati Reds first baseman. Entering September he leads MLB with 105-plus RBIs while slugging 31 home runs, a .268 average, and strong extra-base output that places him on pace to become the first rookie since Walt Dropo in 1950 to pace the majors in RBIs. No rookie since the award’s 1947 inception has posted a 30-homer, 100-RBI season without winning the honor. Recent late-August and early-September performance has extended his lead, while contenders such as Mets starter Nolan McLean and injured Cardinals second baseman JJ Wetherholt trail due to comparatively lower counting stats or missed time from wrist tendinitis. A late surge by McLean or heavy voter weighting of defensive WAR could narrow the gap, though Stewart’s historical profile and sustained production anchor current trader consensus.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Rookie of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,015,085
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Related

icon for Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?

77%
icon for Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?

79%
icon for Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award?

93%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Sal Stewart" at 85%, followed by "Nolan McLean" at 9%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 85¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" is "Sal Stewart" at 85%, meaning the market assigns a 85% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nolan McLean" at 9%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Rookie of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.