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icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·American League

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

New York Yankees 24%

Tampa Bay Rays 20.8%

Boston Red Sox 13.5%

Chicago White Sox 11.9%

Polymarket

$4,333,958 Vol.

New York Yankees 24%

Tampa Bay Rays 20.8%

Boston Red Sox 13.5%

Chicago White Sox 11.9%

Polymarket

$4,333,958 Vol.

New York Yankees

$58,435 Vol.

24%

Tampa Bay Rays

$406,373 Vol.

21%

Boston Red Sox

$59,494 Vol.

13%

Chicago White Sox

$253,549 Vol.

12%

Houston Astros

$784,658 Vol.

10%

Cleveland Guardians

$742,510 Vol.

5%

Texas Rangers

$27,909 Vol.

4%

Toronto Blue Jays

$154,137 Vol.

4%

Seattle Mariners

$41,054 Vol.

2%

Baltimore Orioles

$67,941 Vol.

1%

Detroit Tigers

$124,256 Vol.

1%

Minnesota Twins

$253,605 Vol.

1%

Kansas City Royals

$856,311 Vol.

<1%

Los Angeles Angels

$327,455 Vol.

<1%

Athletics

$176,270 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 American League pennant market remains tightly contested because multiple teams sit within striking distance of division titles or wild-card berths with roughly a month left in the regular season. The Rays hold the AL East lead at 84-57 while the Yankees sit four games back with the league’s strongest run differential, the Red Sox trail by 7.5 games, the White Sox lead the AL Central at 74-67, and the Astros top the AL West at 73-69. This compressed standings picture, combined with strong recent form from several contenders and the inherent variance of October baseball, produces closely bunched implied probabilities that mirror the broad distribution of realistic paths to the AL flag.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,333,958
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 American League pennant market remains tightly contested because multiple teams sit within striking distance of division titles or wild-card berths with roughly a month left in the regular season. The Rays hold the AL East lead at 84-57 while the Yankees sit four games back with the league’s strongest run differential, the Red Sox trail by 7.5 games, the White Sox lead the AL Central at 74-67, and the Astros top the AL West at 73-69. This compressed standings picture, combined with strong recent form from several contenders and the inherent variance of October baseball, produces closely bunched implied probabilities that mirror the broad distribution of realistic paths to the AL flag.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,333,958
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "New York Yankees" at 24%, followed by "Tampa Bay Rays" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 24¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" has generated $4.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 American League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is "New York Yankees" at 24%, meaning the market assigns a 24% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.