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icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS
Sports·MLB Playoffs

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

icon for MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS
Sports·MLB Playoffs

MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS

NEW
Oct 15, 2026
Polymarket

$167 Vol.

Polymarket

Los Angeles Angels

$83 Vol.

97%

Athletics

$83 Vol.

97%

Tampa Bay Rays

$0 Vol.

54%

New York Yankees

$0 Vol.

53%

Boston Red Sox

$0 Vol.

52%

Chicago White Sox

$0 Vol.

52%

Cleveland Guardians

$0 Vol.

52%

Baltimore Orioles

$0 Vol.

50%

Seattle Mariners

$0 Vol.

50%

Texas Rangers

$0 Vol.

50%

Detroit Tigers

$0 Vol.

50%

Kansas City Royals

$0 Vol.

50%

Minnesota Twins

$0 Vol.

50%

Houston Astros

$0 Vol.

50%

Toronto Blue Jays

$0 Vol.

49%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The AL playoff picture entering the final month centers on division leaders Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros holding top seeds, with the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox occupying the top wild-card spots and Cleveland Guardians clinging to the final berth. Recent results show the Rays maintaining a four-game edge in the East amid strong home performance, while the White Sox and Astros manage narrow leads in their divisions and the Yankees extend their wild-card advantage through consistent wins. These standings shape likely ALDS pairings, where top seeds enjoy home-field advantage and rest, influencing implied probabilities for which teams advance to the ALCS. Tight wild-card and division races remain fluid with multiple games left, and no team has clinched a postseason spot.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167
End Date
Oct 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The AL playoff picture entering the final month centers on division leaders Tampa Bay Rays, Chicago White Sox, and Houston Astros holding top seeds, with the New York Yankees and Boston Red Sox occupying the top wild-card spots and Cleveland Guardians clinging to the final berth. Recent results show the Rays maintaining a four-game edge in the East amid strong home performance, while the White Sox and Astros manage narrow leads in their divisions and the Yankees extend their wild-card advantage through consistent wins. These standings shape likely ALDS pairings, where top seeds enjoy home-field advantage and rest, influencing implied probabilities for which teams advance to the ALCS. Tight wild-card and division races remain fluid with multiple games left, and no team has clinched a postseason spot.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the ALCS of the 2026 MLB Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 MLB Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the ALCS matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$167
End Date
Oct 15, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:50 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.mlb.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 54%, followed by "New York Yankees" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Yankees" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB Playoffs: Team to advance to ALCS" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.