**Weak early tracking and audience reception have anchored trader sentiment for "Onslaught's" opening weekend at A24.** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 in roughly 1,900 theaters, posted a soft first-day gross near $782,000 and is tracking toward a modest $2.3–2.5 million four-day total against a $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (54–57% on Rotten Tomatoes, 57 Metacritic) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth momentum, consistent with the director’s return to lean genre roots after larger studio projects. In a Labor Day frame dominated by holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, these factors have driven overwhelming market-implied odds for sub-$2 million or low $2–3 million outcomes. Full weekend figures and any late social lift remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office
<2m 84%
2-3m 16%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$24,466 Vol.
$24,466 Vol.
<2m
84%
2-3m
16%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
<2m 84%
2-3m 16%
3-4m <1%
4-5m <1%
$24,466 Vol.
$24,466 Vol.
<2m
84%
2-3m
16%
3-4m
1%
4-5m
<1%
5-6m
<1%
6m+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Weak early tracking and audience reception have anchored trader sentiment for "Onslaught's" opening weekend at A24.** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 in roughly 1,900 theaters, posted a soft first-day gross near $782,000 and is tracking toward a modest $2.3–2.5 million four-day total against a $15 million budget. Mixed critical response (54–57% on Rotten Tomatoes, 57 Metacritic) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth momentum, consistent with the director’s return to lean genre roots after larger studio projects. In a Labor Day frame dominated by holdovers like *Spider-Man: Brand New Day*, these factors have driven overwhelming market-implied odds for sub-$2 million or low $2–3 million outcomes. Full weekend figures and any late social lift remain the key near-term variables.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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