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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Sep 8

Sep 8

The Whisper Man 98.2%

The Secret Woman <1%

Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look <1%

The Last House <1%

Polymarket
NEW

The Whisper Man 98.2%

The Secret Woman <1%

Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look <1%

The Last House <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look

$388 Vol.

1%

The Whisper Man

$3,826 Vol.

98%

Facing El Chapo

$200 Vol.

1%

The Secret Woman

$258 Vol.

1%

The Last House

$220 Vol.

1%

The Heat

$161 Vol.

1%

Turning Point: Generation 9/11

$319 Vol.

1%

Untold Raygun: Breaking Badly

$160 Vol.

1%

Ready or Not

$170 Vol.

1%

Jaws

$161 Vol.

<1%

The Prince of Egypt

$175 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds reflect its commanding hold on Netflix’s US top 10 charts since the August 28 premiere, driven by 23.2 million views and 44 million hours watched in the opening days plus continued #1 ranking into early September. Star power from Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan, combined with Russo brothers production backing, fueled broad subscriber engagement even amid mixed critical reception around 46% on Rotten Tomatoes. Traders see little room for reversal this week given the film’s sustained momentum and lack of comparable new releases. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from titles like The Secret Woman or a major algorithmic shift, scenarios that remain remote based on current streaming data.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,039
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Whisper Man’s overwhelming 98.5% market-implied odds reflect its commanding hold on Netflix’s US top 10 charts since the August 28 premiere, driven by 23.2 million views and 44 million hours watched in the opening days plus continued #1 ranking into early September. Star power from Robert De Niro, Adam Scott, and Michelle Monaghan, combined with Russo brothers production backing, fueled broad subscriber engagement even amid mixed critical reception around 46% on Rotten Tomatoes. Traders see little room for reversal this week given the film’s sustained momentum and lack of comparable new releases. An upset would require an unexpected late surge from titles like The Secret Woman or a major algorithmic shift, scenarios that remain remote based on current streaming data.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, September 8, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,039
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 7:06 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Whisper Man" at 98%, followed by "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Whisper Man" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.