Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence has settled into a moderate 25–30 posts per day following the conclusion of his DOGE involvement, producing weekly totals in the 160–179 range for the prior seven-day period and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 brackets. Sustained Tesla Cybercab updates and routine X platform commentary have kept activity steady without the spikes seen during election cycles or major product launches, while the absence of acute political flashpoints has limited volume escalation. Weekend engagement patterns and any late-week business or regulatory developments remain the key swing factors that could push the count higher or keep it anchored near the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 20%
220-239 18%
180-199 16%
240-259 14.0%
$256,009 Vol.
$256,009 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
9%
180-199
16%
200-219
20%
220-239
18%
240-259
14%
260-279
10%
280-299
6%
300-319
3%
320-339
2%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 20%
220-239 18%
180-199 16%
240-259 14.0%
$256,009 Vol.
$256,009 Vol.
Sep 11, 2026
40-59
$2,382 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$7,438 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$31,440 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$33,199 Vol.
1%
120-139
$14,491 Vol.
1%
140-159
$7,005 Vol.
4%
160-179
$4,295 Vol.
9%
180-199
$5,379 Vol.
16%
200-219
$6,056 Vol.
20%
220-239
$5,390 Vol.
18%
240-259
$3,916 Vol.
14%
260-279
$3,631 Vol.
10%
280-299
$5,468 Vol.
6%
300-319
$15,318 Vol.
3%
320-339
$6,463 Vol.
2%
340-359
$4,389 Vol.
1%
360-379
$6,387 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$11,504 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$13,808 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$12,369 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$5,223 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$6,410 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$5,988 Vol.
<1%
500+
$35,297 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence has settled into a moderate 25–30 posts per day following the conclusion of his DOGE involvement, producing weekly totals in the 160–179 range for the prior seven-day period and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 brackets. Sustained Tesla Cybercab updates and routine X platform commentary have kept activity steady without the spikes seen during election cycles or major product launches, while the absence of acute political flashpoints has limited volume escalation. Weekend engagement patterns and any late-week business or regulatory developments remain the key swing factors that could push the count higher or keep it anchored near the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$256,009End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence has settled into a moderate 25–30 posts per day following the conclusion of his DOGE involvement, producing weekly totals in the 160–179 range for the prior seven-day period and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 brackets. Sustained Tesla Cybercab updates and routine X platform commentary have kept activity steady without the spikes seen during election cycles or major product launches, while the absence of acute political flashpoints has limited volume escalation. Weekend engagement patterns and any late-week business or regulatory developments remain the key swing factors that could push the count higher or keep it anchored near the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 4 12:00 PM ET to September 11, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$256,009End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s recent posting cadence has settled into a moderate 25–30 posts per day following the conclusion of his DOGE involvement, producing weekly totals in the 160–179 range for the prior seven-day period and supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 180–239 brackets. Sustained Tesla Cybercab updates and routine X platform commentary have kept activity steady without the spikes seen during election cycles or major product launches, while the absence of acute political flashpoints has limited volume escalation. Weekend engagement patterns and any late-week business or regulatory developments remain the key swing factors that could push the count higher or keep it anchored near the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions