MrBeast’s long-form challenge videos have consistently delivered strong first-day performance, with recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” quickly surpassing 40 million views thanks to his 516 million subscribers and proven high-stakes format. Traders assign the 40M+ bracket a 79.5% implied probability because these productions routinely generate massive opening momentum through algorithmic push and fan anticipation. The newest upload, “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” adds a multi-year Gemini partnership that includes cross-promotion and AI-assisted logistics, further boosting early visibility. Upcoming Saturday releases and ongoing brand integrations should sustain this trajectory, though exact day-one totals can fluctuate with thumbnail performance and competing content.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
40M+ 80%
35–40M 15%
30–35M 2.2%
25–30M <1%
$142,623 Vol.
$142,623 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
<1%
15–20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
<1%
30–35M
2%
35–40M
15%
40M+
80%
40M+ 80%
35–40M 15%
30–35M 2.2%
25–30M <1%
$142,623 Vol.
$142,623 Vol.
Sep 6, 2026
<15M
$9,150 Vol.
<1%
15–20M
$18,015 Vol.
<1%
20–25M
$28,743 Vol.
<1%
25–30M
$21,897 Vol.
<1%
30–35M
$23,700 Vol.
2%
35–40M
$14,855 Vol.
15%
40M+
$26,264 Vol.
80%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s long-form challenge videos have consistently delivered strong first-day performance, with recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” quickly surpassing 40 million views thanks to his 516 million subscribers and proven high-stakes format. Traders assign the 40M+ bracket a 79.5% implied probability because these productions routinely generate massive opening momentum through algorithmic push and fan anticipation. The newest upload, “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” adds a multi-year Gemini partnership that includes cross-promotion and AI-assisted logistics, further boosting early visibility. Upcoming Saturday releases and ongoing brand integrations should sustain this trajectory, though exact day-one totals can fluctuate with thumbnail performance and competing content.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$142,623End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s long-form challenge videos have consistently delivered strong first-day performance, with recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” quickly surpassing 40 million views thanks to his 516 million subscribers and proven high-stakes format. Traders assign the 40M+ bracket a 79.5% implied probability because these productions routinely generate massive opening momentum through algorithmic push and fan anticipation. The newest upload, “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” adds a multi-year Gemini partnership that includes cross-promotion and AI-assisted logistics, further boosting early visibility. Upcoming Saturday releases and ongoing brand integrations should sustain this trajectory, though exact day-one totals can fluctuate with thumbnail performance and competing content.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$142,623End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s long-form challenge videos have consistently delivered strong first-day performance, with recent releases like “Escape 100 Cops” and “Last To Leave Mansion” quickly surpassing 40 million views thanks to his 516 million subscribers and proven high-stakes format. Traders assign the 40M+ bracket a 79.5% implied probability because these productions routinely generate massive opening momentum through algorithmic push and fan anticipation. The newest upload, “We Survived The Most Extreme Places On Earth,” adds a multi-year Gemini partnership that includes cross-promotion and AI-assisted logistics, further boosting early visibility. Upcoming Saturday releases and ongoing brand integrations should sustain this trajectory, though exact day-one totals can fluctuate with thumbnail performance and competing content.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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