MrBeast’s consistent track record with long-form challenge videos positions the 90M+ outcome as the clear market leader at 82% implied probability. Recent uploads such as “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” and “Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It” each cleared 90 million views rapidly, supported by the channel’s 516 million subscribers, high-production spectacle, and strong algorithmic push. Traders appear to be pricing in this established momentum rather than any short-term dip, as weekly view gains across the main channel routinely exceed 90 million even amid broader YouTube trends. Upcoming releases are expected to follow the same pattern unless a shift toward shorter content occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
90M+ 82%
80-90M 16%
70-80M 5%
60-70M 2.0%
$25,826 Vol.
$25,826 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40M
<1%
40-50M
1%
50-60M
1%
60-70M
2%
70-80M
5%
80-90M
16%
90M+
82%
90M+ 82%
80-90M 16%
70-80M 5%
60-70M 2.0%
$25,826 Vol.
$25,826 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
<40M
$4,715 Vol.
<1%
40-50M
$3,021 Vol.
1%
50-60M
$1,876 Vol.
1%
60-70M
$4,673 Vol.
2%
70-80M
$4,415 Vol.
5%
80-90M
$3,637 Vol.
16%
90M+
$3,489 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s consistent track record with long-form challenge videos positions the 90M+ outcome as the clear market leader at 82% implied probability. Recent uploads such as “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” and “Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It” each cleared 90 million views rapidly, supported by the channel’s 516 million subscribers, high-production spectacle, and strong algorithmic push. Traders appear to be pricing in this established momentum rather than any short-term dip, as weekly view gains across the main channel routinely exceed 90 million even amid broader YouTube trends. Upcoming releases are expected to follow the same pattern unless a shift toward shorter content occurs.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ET
Volume
$25,826End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s consistent track record with long-form challenge videos positions the 90M+ outcome as the clear market leader at 82% implied probability. Recent uploads such as “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” and “Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It” each cleared 90 million views rapidly, supported by the channel’s 516 million subscribers, high-production spectacle, and strong algorithmic push. Traders appear to be pricing in this established momentum rather than any short-term dip, as weekly view gains across the main channel routinely exceed 90 million even amid broader YouTube trends. Upcoming releases are expected to follow the same pattern unless a shift toward shorter content occurs.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast after this market's creation gets in the first 7 days after being posted.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$25,826End Date
Sep 12, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 2:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s consistent track record with long-form challenge videos positions the 90M+ outcome as the clear market leader at 82% implied probability. Recent uploads such as “Escape 100 Cops, Win $500,000” and “Last To Leave Mansion, Keeps It” each cleared 90 million views rapidly, supported by the channel’s 516 million subscribers, high-production spectacle, and strong algorithmic push. Traders appear to be pricing in this established momentum rather than any short-term dip, as weekly view gains across the main channel routinely exceed 90 million even amid broader YouTube trends. Upcoming releases are expected to follow the same pattern unless a shift toward shorter content occurs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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