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icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?

220-239 32%

240-259 27%

200-219 20%

260-279 12.6%

Polymarket

$967,852 Vol.

220-239 32%

240-259 27%

200-219 20%

260-279 12.6%

Polymarket

$967,852 Vol.

140-159

$61,425 Vol.

<1%

160-179

$70,032 Vol.

<1%

180-199

$62,371 Vol.

4%

200-219

$37,985 Vol.

20%

220-239

$33,992 Vol.

32%

240-259

$37,816 Vol.

27%

260-279

$34,117 Vol.

13%

280-299

$41,513 Vol.

5%

300-319

$37,339 Vol.

2%

320-339

$45,532 Vol.

1%

340-359

$42,650 Vol.

<1%

360-379

$27,210 Vol.

<1%

380-399

$29,336 Vol.

<1%

400-419

$30,334 Vol.

<1%

420-439

$21,673 Vol.

<1%

440-459

$15,121 Vol.

<1%

460-479

$12,942 Vol.

<1%

480-499

$12,660 Vol.

<1%

500+

$64,885 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Steady engagement with Tesla and xAI developments, alongside routine news commentary, has anchored Elon Musk’s posting pace near 30–40 times daily so far this week.** Recent weeks show similar moderation when major political or launch events are absent, with the August 25–September 1 period resolving at 160–179 and shorter recent brackets clustering in the 65–89 range for three-day windows. The tight contest between the 220–239 (31.5%) and 240–259 (26.5%) brackets reflects trader views that the remaining three days will add roughly 90–120 posts absent a sudden spike from earnings, regulatory news, or viral topics. Historical variance—quiet stretches near 136 weekly versus outlier weeks above 300—keeps the lower bins live but secondary, as markets price in Musk’s established rhythm rather than exceptional catalysts through September 8.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$967,852
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Steady engagement with Tesla and xAI developments, alongside routine news commentary, has anchored Elon Musk’s posting pace near 30–40 times daily so far this week.** Recent weeks show similar moderation when major political or launch events are absent, with the August 25–September 1 period resolving at 160–179 and shorter recent brackets clustering in the 65–89 range for three-day windows. The tight contest between the 220–239 (31.5%) and 240–259 (26.5%) brackets reflects trader views that the remaining three days will add roughly 90–120 posts absent a sudden spike from earnings, regulatory news, or viral topics. Historical variance—quiet stretches near 136 weekly versus outlier weeks above 300—keeps the lower bins live but secondary, as markets price in Musk’s established rhythm rather than exceptional catalysts through September 8.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 1 12:00 PM ET to September 8, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$967,852
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 26 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "220-239" at 32%, followed by "240-259" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?" has generated $967.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?," browse the 26 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?" is "220-239" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "240-259" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.