Following Karoline Leavitt’s late-August departure for family reasons, the White House search for a successor has produced a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Anna Kelly, the principal deputy press secretary, leads trader consensus through her established role handling briefings and cable appearances, while Scott Jennings draws support for his on-air defense of administration positions and reported early meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles. Maria Bartiromo’s recent price movement reflects coverage of her Fox News exit. Internal continuity options such as Margo Martin compete against outside commentators and advisers, with the process still open and midterm messaging needs adding uncertainty. This balance of experience, media skills, and internal access sustains tight probabilities across leading names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAnna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 15.8%
Maria Bartiromo 15%
Alina Habba 1.8%
$372,927 Vol.
$372,927 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
15%

Alina Habba
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Margo Martin
1%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Liz Huston
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Lara Trump
<1%

Harrison Fields
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Katie Pavlich
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Taylor Rogers
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Spencer Pratt
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%
Anna Kelly 22%
Scott Jennings 15.8%
Maria Bartiromo 15%
Alina Habba 1.8%
$372,927 Vol.
$372,927 Vol.

Anna Kelly
22%

Scott Jennings
16%

Maria Bartiromo
15%

Alina Habba
2%

Natalie Harp
2%

Margo Martin
1%

Katie Miller
1%

Tricia McLaughlin
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Ari Fleischer
1%

Pat Adams
1%

Lauren Bis
1%

Liz Huston
<1%

Katie Zacharia
<1%

Lara Trump
<1%

Harrison Fields
<1%

Rachel Campos-Duffy
<1%

Katie Pavlich
<1%

Hogan Gidley
<1%

Kari Lake
<1%

Matthew Boyle
<1%

Taylor Rogers
<1%

Kaelan Dorr
<1%

Spencer Pratt
<1%

Kayleigh McEnany
<1%

Monica Crowley
<1%
A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A person being announced as an acting or interim holder of the position will not count for purposes of this market.
In the event that no individual is chosen to replace Karoline Leavitt, or the role is abolished, by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement has occurred, subsequent withdrawals or replacement announcements will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the White House and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Following Karoline Leavitt’s late-August departure for family reasons, the White House search for a successor has produced a fragmented field with no dominant frontrunner. Anna Kelly, the principal deputy press secretary, leads trader consensus through her established role handling briefings and cable appearances, while Scott Jennings draws support for his on-air defense of administration positions and reported early meetings with Chief of Staff Susie Wiles. Maria Bartiromo’s recent price movement reflects coverage of her Fox News exit. Internal continuity options such as Margo Martin compete against outside commentators and advisers, with the process still open and midterm messaging needs adding uncertainty. This balance of experience, media skills, and internal access sustains tight probabilities across leading names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions