Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts per day through much of 2026 with frequent multi-post sprees, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for September 8–15. Recent months have shown sustained output tied to economic data releases, candidate endorsements, geopolitical updates, and domestic policy commentary, including reposts and quote posts that count toward totals. Variability from overnight or rapid-fire sessions can push weekly figures well above the mean, while quieter periods remain possible absent major catalysts. This historical range and volatility shape the current implied probabilities across the listed bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
200+ 50%
160-179 19%
180-199 16%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
3%
60-79
4%
80-99
4%
100-119
4%
120-139
6%
140-159
10%
160-179
19%
180-199
16%
200+
50%
200+ 50%
160-179 19%
180-199 16%
140-159 10%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<20
$262 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$8 Vol.
1%
40-59
$8 Vol.
3%
60-79
$0 Vol.
4%
80-99
$0 Vol.
4%
100-119
$0 Vol.
4%
120-139
$0 Vol.
6%
140-159
$6 Vol.
10%
160-179
$6 Vol.
19%
180-199
$28 Vol.
16%
200+
$334 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts per day through much of 2026 with frequent multi-post sprees, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for September 8–15. Recent months have shown sustained output tied to economic data releases, candidate endorsements, geopolitical updates, and domestic policy commentary, including reposts and quote posts that count toward totals. Variability from overnight or rapid-fire sessions can push weekly figures well above the mean, while quieter periods remain possible absent major catalysts. This historical range and volatility shape the current implied probabilities across the listed bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$652End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts per day through much of 2026 with frequent multi-post sprees, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for September 8–15. Recent months have shown sustained output tied to economic data releases, candidate endorsements, geopolitical updates, and domestic policy commentary, including reposts and quote posts that count toward totals. Variability from overnight or rapid-fire sessions can push weekly figures well above the mean, while quieter periods remain possible absent major catalysts. This historical range and volatility shape the current implied probabilities across the listed bins.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$652End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity as president, averaging 19–24 posts per day through much of 2026 with frequent multi-post sprees, forms the primary driver behind trader consensus favoring 200+ posts for September 8–15. Recent months have shown sustained output tied to economic data releases, candidate endorsements, geopolitical updates, and domestic policy commentary, including reposts and quote posts that count toward totals. Variability from overnight or rapid-fire sessions can push weekly figures well above the mean, while quieter periods remain possible absent major catalysts. This historical range and volatility shape the current implied probabilities across the listed bins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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