**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir, maintain very low posting frequency consistent with historical patterns.** Recent data show an average of roughly 0.1 posts per day over the past 30 days, with activity on only about 10% of days, as the accounts primarily share occasional statements, Quranic references, or translated remarks rather than routine updates. Multiple language-specific feeds operate on similar schedules, and the new Supreme Leader has favored Telegram or formal addresses for key messages amid ongoing regional tensions. This established cadence underpins the market’s strong consensus around fewer than five posts in the September 8–15 window. A sudden escalation in conflicts, a major policy announcement, or a significant religious or national commemoration could prompt additional statements and test the low-activity baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 8 - September 15, 2026?
<5 94%
5-9 4.0%
10-14 2.4%
35-39 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<5
94%
5-9
4%
10-14
2%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
<1%
30-34
1%
35-39
2%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
<1%
55-59
<1%
60+
<1%
<5 94%
5-9 4.0%
10-14 2.4%
35-39 1.9%
NEW
NEW
Sep 15, 2026
<5
$873 Vol.
94%
5-9
$286 Vol.
4%
10-14
$233 Vol.
2%
15-19
$138 Vol.
1%
20-24
$104 Vol.
1%
25-29
$138 Vol.
<1%
30-34
$89 Vol.
1%
35-39
$266 Vol.
2%
40-44
$145 Vol.
1%
45-49
$143 Vol.
1%
50-54
$123 Vol.
<1%
55-59
$123 Vol.
<1%
60+
$123 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir, maintain very low posting frequency consistent with historical patterns.** Recent data show an average of roughly 0.1 posts per day over the past 30 days, with activity on only about 10% of days, as the accounts primarily share occasional statements, Quranic references, or translated remarks rather than routine updates. Multiple language-specific feeds operate on similar schedules, and the new Supreme Leader has favored Telegram or formal addresses for key messages amid ongoing regional tensions. This established cadence underpins the market’s strong consensus around fewer than five posts in the September 8–15 window.
A sudden escalation in conflicts, a major policy announcement, or a significant religious or national commemoration could prompt additional statements and test the low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$2,668End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir, maintain very low posting frequency consistent with historical patterns.** Recent data show an average of roughly 0.1 posts per day over the past 30 days, with activity on only about 10% of days, as the accounts primarily share occasional statements, Quranic references, or translated remarks rather than routine updates. Multiple language-specific feeds operate on similar schedules, and the new Supreme Leader has favored Telegram or formal addresses for key messages amid ongoing regional tensions. This established cadence underpins the market’s strong consensus around fewer than five posts in the September 8–15 window.
A sudden escalation in conflicts, a major policy announcement, or a significant religious or national commemoration could prompt additional statements and test the low-activity baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$2,668End Date
Sep 15, 2026Market Opened
Sep 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X accounts, including @khamenei_ir and @MKhamenei_ir, maintain very low posting frequency consistent with historical patterns.** Recent data show an average of roughly 0.1 posts per day over the past 30 days, with activity on only about 10% of days, as the accounts primarily share occasional statements, Quranic references, or translated remarks rather than routine updates. Multiple language-specific feeds operate on similar schedules, and the new Supreme Leader has favored Telegram or formal addresses for key messages amid ongoing regional tensions. This established cadence underpins the market’s strong consensus around fewer than five posts in the September 8–15 window. A sudden escalation in conflicts, a major policy announcement, or a significant religious or national commemoration could prompt additional statements and test the low-activity baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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