Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Decision Desk HQ showing figures near 38-40 percent amid consistent net negatives of 17-21 points. Trader consensus around the 38.5-38.9 range reflects this stability, as public sentiment remains anchored by sustained dissatisfaction with the administration's handling of the Iran conflict and related rises in energy costs and inflation. Modest variations across pollsters, including higher readings from Rasmussen Reports, keep probabilities clustered without clear separation, while the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 11 measurement window limits shifts. Upcoming data releases or diplomatic updates on foreign policy could still adjust positioning within the tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 26%
<37.5 19%
37.5–37.9 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
19%
37.5–37.9
17%
38.0–38.4
26%
38.5–38.9
32%
39.0–39.4
12%
39.5+
4%
38.5–38.9 32%
38.0–38.4 26%
<37.5 19%
37.5–37.9 17%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$40 Vol.
19%
37.5–37.9
$10 Vol.
17%
38.0–38.4
$10 Vol.
26%
38.5–38.9
$10 Vol.
32%
39.0–39.4
$22 Vol.
12%
39.5+
$41 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Decision Desk HQ showing figures near 38-40 percent amid consistent net negatives of 17-21 points. Trader consensus around the 38.5-38.9 range reflects this stability, as public sentiment remains anchored by sustained dissatisfaction with the administration's handling of the Iran conflict and related rises in energy costs and inflation. Modest variations across pollsters, including higher readings from Rasmussen Reports, keep probabilities clustered without clear separation, while the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 11 measurement window limits shifts. Upcoming data releases or diplomatic updates on foreign policy could still adjust positioning within the tight band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Decision Desk HQ showing figures near 38-40 percent amid consistent net negatives of 17-21 points. Trader consensus around the 38.5-38.9 range reflects this stability, as public sentiment remains anchored by sustained dissatisfaction with the administration's handling of the Iran conflict and related rises in energy costs and inflation. Modest variations across pollsters, including higher readings from Rasmussen Reports, keep probabilities clustered without clear separation, while the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 11 measurement window limits shifts. Upcoming data releases or diplomatic updates on foreign policy could still adjust positioning within the tight band.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$133End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, with aggregates from sources such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and Decision Desk HQ showing figures near 38-40 percent amid consistent net negatives of 17-21 points. Trader consensus around the 38.5-38.9 range reflects this stability, as public sentiment remains anchored by sustained dissatisfaction with the administration's handling of the Iran conflict and related rises in energy costs and inflation. Modest variations across pollsters, including higher readings from Rasmussen Reports, keep probabilities clustered without clear separation, while the absence of major new catalysts in the final days before the September 11 measurement window limits shifts. Upcoming data releases or diplomatic updates on foreign policy could still adjust positioning within the tight band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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