Trump's long record of issuing direct personal criticisms via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and public speeches continues to shape trader views on these daily resolution markets. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, political opponents, and foreign figures amid Iran policy disputes, immigration enforcement actions, and preparations for the November midterms. Recent examples include remarks on reporters, members of Congress such as Ilhan Omar, and critics during events like the White House Correspondents' Dinner. Scheduled campaign appearances and ongoing diplomatic or legislative developments provide additional opportunities for such statements, reinforcing the market's historical pattern of high implied probabilities for affirmative resolutions on most dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$24,385 Vol.
September 3
63%
September 5
71%
September 6
58%
September 7
57%
September 8
91%
September 9
94%
September 10
93%
September 11
88%
September 12
88%
September 13
86%
September 14
88%
September 15
89%
September 16
88%
September 17
84%
September 18
89%
September 19
87%
September 20
88%
September 21
90%
September 22
87%
September 23
87%
September 24
89%
September 25
88%
September 26
89%
September 27
78%
September 28
52%
September 29
84%
September 30
53%
$24,385 Vol.
September 3
63%
September 5
71%
September 6
58%
September 7
57%
September 8
91%
September 9
94%
September 10
93%
September 11
88%
September 12
88%
September 13
86%
September 14
88%
September 15
89%
September 16
88%
September 17
84%
September 18
89%
September 19
87%
September 20
88%
September 21
90%
September 22
87%
September 23
87%
September 24
89%
September 25
88%
September 26
89%
September 27
78%
September 28
52%
September 29
84%
September 30
53%
A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 5:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify.
A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify.
A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare").
A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's long record of issuing direct personal criticisms via Truth Social posts, press interactions, and public speeches continues to shape trader views on these daily resolution markets. As president in 2026, he has repeatedly targeted journalists, political opponents, and foreign figures amid Iran policy disputes, immigration enforcement actions, and preparations for the November midterms. Recent examples include remarks on reporters, members of Congress such as Ilhan Omar, and critics during events like the White House Correspondents' Dinner. Scheduled campaign appearances and ongoing diplomatic or legislative developments provide additional opportunities for such statements, reinforcing the market's historical pattern of high implied probabilities for affirmative resolutions on most dates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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