Trump's active engagement in presidential duties through early September 2026, including recent executive actions on immigration enforcement, mail-voting restrictions, and government funding resolutions, underpins trader consensus that removal by September 30 is highly improbable. With roughly three weeks remaining, constitutional processes such as impeachment and Senate conviction require extended congressional timelines incompatible with the deadline, while no active proceedings or resignation signals exist. Midterm dynamics remain months away, and structural barriers like the two-thirds Senate threshold further limit near-term shifts. Low-probability catalysts that could still alter outcomes include acute health developments or unanticipated personal decisions, though current reporting shows none in motion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1% chance
$251,596 Vol.
$251,596 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
1% chance
$251,596 Vol.
$251,596 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's active engagement in presidential duties through early September 2026, including recent executive actions on immigration enforcement, mail-voting restrictions, and government funding resolutions, underpins trader consensus that removal by September 30 is highly improbable. With roughly three weeks remaining, constitutional processes such as impeachment and Senate conviction require extended congressional timelines incompatible with the deadline, while no active proceedings or resignation signals exist. Midterm dynamics remain months away, and structural barriers like the two-thirds Senate threshold further limit near-term shifts. Low-probability catalysts that could still alter outcomes include acute health developments or unanticipated personal decisions, though current reporting shows none in motion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ET
Volume
$251,596End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's active engagement in presidential duties through early September 2026, including recent executive actions on immigration enforcement, mail-voting restrictions, and government funding resolutions, underpins trader consensus that removal by September 30 is highly improbable. With roughly three weeks remaining, constitutional processes such as impeachment and Senate conviction require extended congressional timelines incompatible with the deadline, while no active proceedings or resignation signals exist. Midterm dynamics remain months away, and structural barriers like the two-thirds Senate threshold further limit near-term shifts. Low-probability catalysts that could still alter outcomes include acute health developments or unanticipated personal decisions, though current reporting shows none in motion.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time between market creation and September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$251,596End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's active engagement in presidential duties through early September 2026, including recent executive actions on immigration enforcement, mail-voting restrictions, and government funding resolutions, underpins trader consensus that removal by September 30 is highly improbable. With roughly three weeks remaining, constitutional processes such as impeachment and Senate conviction require extended congressional timelines incompatible with the deadline, while no active proceedings or resignation signals exist. Midterm dynamics remain months away, and structural barriers like the two-thirds Senate threshold further limit near-term shifts. Low-probability catalysts that could still alter outcomes include acute health developments or unanticipated personal decisions, though current reporting shows none in motion.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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