Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term to averages around 37-39% as of early September 2026, with multiple pollsters recording recent lows near 33-35%. The dominant factors include sustained public opposition to U.S. military actions against Iran—marked by repeated flare-ups, collapsed ceasefires, and strikes disrupting the Strait of Hormuz—alongside weak ratings on inflation, the economy, and cost of living. These issues have eroded support even among some Republican-leaning voters. With midterm elections scheduled for November 2026, further developments in the Iran conflict, upcoming economic data releases, or shifts in congressional dynamics could influence whether ratings dip lower before year-end or stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$130,182 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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$130,182 Vol.
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$90,039 Vol.
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$13,329 Vol.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term to averages around 37-39% as of early September 2026, with multiple pollsters recording recent lows near 33-35%. The dominant factors include sustained public opposition to U.S. military actions against Iran—marked by repeated flare-ups, collapsed ceasefires, and strikes disrupting the Strait of Hormuz—alongside weak ratings on inflation, the economy, and cost of living. These issues have eroded support even among some Republican-leaning voters. With midterm elections scheduled for November 2026, further developments in the Iran conflict, upcoming economic data releases, or shifts in congressional dynamics could influence whether ratings dip lower before year-end or stabilize.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Volume
$130,182End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term to averages around 37-39% as of early September 2026, with multiple pollsters recording recent lows near 33-35%. The dominant factors include sustained public opposition to U.S. military actions against Iran—marked by repeated flare-ups, collapsed ceasefires, and strikes disrupting the Strait of Hormuz—alongside weak ratings on inflation, the economy, and cost of living. These issues have eroded support even among some Republican-leaning voters. With midterm elections scheduled for November 2026, further developments in the Iran conflict, upcoming economic data releases, or shifts in congressional dynamics could influence whether ratings dip lower before year-end or stabilize.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or below the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$130,182End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating has declined steadily through his second term to averages around 37-39% as of early September 2026, with multiple pollsters recording recent lows near 33-35%. The dominant factors include sustained public opposition to U.S. military actions against Iran—marked by repeated flare-ups, collapsed ceasefires, and strikes disrupting the Strait of Hormuz—alongside weak ratings on inflation, the economy, and cost of living. These issues have eroded support even among some Republican-leaning voters. With midterm elections scheduled for November 2026, further developments in the Iran conflict, upcoming economic data releases, or shifts in congressional dynamics could influence whether ratings dip lower before year-end or stabilize.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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