Trump’s approval rating in 2026 has remained low and trended downward amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in late February, persistent inflation and elevated gas prices, and broad dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Recent aggregates place his job approval near 38 percent with net ratings around -20, matching or approaching second-term lows across multiple pollsters, though figures vary by sample (e.g., 33–44 percent in individual surveys). Economic handling draws the weakest marks, while Republican support stays high but with declining intensity among the base and deeply negative readings among independents. The November 2026 midterms, scheduled campaign appearances, any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East, and incoming economic data represent near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings recover or reach new lows before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHow high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
How high will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 44%
6%
↑ 45%
5%
↑ 46%
10%
↑ 47%
15%
↑ 48%
5%
↑ 49%
4%
↑ 50%
5%
$7,741 Vol.
↑ 44%
$3,319 Vol.
6%
↑ 45%
$320 Vol.
5%
↑ 46%
$1,112 Vol.
10%
↑ 47%
$480 Vol.
15%
↑ 48%
$779 Vol.
5%
↑ 49%
$656 Vol.
4%
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$1,075 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating in 2026 has remained low and trended downward amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in late February, persistent inflation and elevated gas prices, and broad dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Recent aggregates place his job approval near 38 percent with net ratings around -20, matching or approaching second-term lows across multiple pollsters, though figures vary by sample (e.g., 33–44 percent in individual surveys). Economic handling draws the weakest marks, while Republican support stays high but with declining intensity among the base and deeply negative readings among independents. The November 2026 midterms, scheduled campaign appearances, any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East, and incoming economic data represent near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings recover or reach new lows before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Market Opened: Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ET
Volume
$7,741End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.Trump’s approval rating in 2026 has remained low and trended downward amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in late February, persistent inflation and elevated gas prices, and broad dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Recent aggregates place his job approval near 38 percent with net ratings around -20, matching or approaching second-term lows across multiple pollsters, though figures vary by sample (e.g., 33–44 percent in individual surveys). Economic handling draws the weakest marks, while Republican support stays high but with declining intensity among the base and deeply negative readings among independents. The November 2026 midterms, scheduled campaign appearances, any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East, and incoming economic data represent near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings recover or reach new lows before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump’s approval rating according to Silver Bulletin is equal to or higher than the listed value for any date between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
If the approval rating for December 31 is not published by January 4, 2027, 12:00 PM ET (noon), this market will resolve according to all previous datapoints.
Volume
$7,741End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Dec 11, 2025, 7:33 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump’s approval rating in 2026 has remained low and trended downward amid the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict that began in late February, persistent inflation and elevated gas prices, and broad dissatisfaction with economic conditions. Recent aggregates place his job approval near 38 percent with net ratings around -20, matching or approaching second-term lows across multiple pollsters, though figures vary by sample (e.g., 33–44 percent in individual surveys). Economic handling draws the weakest marks, while Republican support stays high but with declining intensity among the base and deeply negative readings among independents. The November 2026 midterms, scheduled campaign appearances, any diplomatic or military developments in the Middle East, and incoming economic data represent near-term catalysts that could influence whether ratings recover or reach new lows before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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