MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding lead in trader consensus ahead of the September 27 parliamentary vote, reflecting its successful alignment with re-elected President Carlos Vila Nova during the July presidential contest and the resulting momentum for the main opposition party. ADI, which secured a parliamentary majority in 2022, faces significant internal divisions over leadership that have limited its ability to consolidate support. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions, including Basta, MCI-PS/PUN, PCD, and MDFM, are contesting seats under proportional representation rules for the 55-member National Assembly, but none appear positioned to challenge the frontrunner. Late shifts in turnout patterns, cross-party alliances, or unforeseen campaign developments could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSão Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
São Tomé and Príncipe Parliamentary Election Winner
MLSTP 91%
ADI 7%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$15,678 Vol.
$15,678 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
91%
ADI
7%
Basta
<1%
PCD
<1%
MDFM
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
<1%
Nossa Terra
<1%
MLSTP 91%
ADI 7%
Basta <1%
PCD <1%
$15,678 Vol.
$15,678 Vol.
Sep 26, 2026
MLSTP
$7,677 Vol.
91%
ADI
$4,626 Vol.
7%
Basta
$1,028 Vol.
<1%
PCD
$612 Vol.
<1%
MDFM
$662 Vol.
<1%
MCI-PS/PUN
$537 Vol.
<1%
Nossa Terra
$537 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding lead in trader consensus ahead of the September 27 parliamentary vote, reflecting its successful alignment with re-elected President Carlos Vila Nova during the July presidential contest and the resulting momentum for the main opposition party. ADI, which secured a parliamentary majority in 2022, faces significant internal divisions over leadership that have limited its ability to consolidate support. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions, including Basta, MCI-PS/PUN, PCD, and MDFM, are contesting seats under proportional representation rules for the 55-member National Assembly, but none appear positioned to challenge the frontrunner. Late shifts in turnout patterns, cross-party alliances, or unforeseen campaign developments could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ET
Volume
$15,678End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding lead in trader consensus ahead of the September 27 parliamentary vote, reflecting its successful alignment with re-elected President Carlos Vila Nova during the July presidential contest and the resulting momentum for the main opposition party. ADI, which secured a parliamentary majority in 2022, faces significant internal divisions over leadership that have limited its ability to consolidate support. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions, including Basta, MCI-PS/PUN, PCD, and MDFM, are contesting seats under proportional representation rules for the 55-member National Assembly, but none appear positioned to challenge the frontrunner. Late shifts in turnout patterns, cross-party alliances, or unforeseen campaign developments could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe are scheduled to take place on September 27, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of São Tomé and Príncipe as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the São Toméan government.
Volume
$15,678End Date
Sep 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 5:45 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MLSTP–PSD holds a commanding lead in trader consensus ahead of the September 27 parliamentary vote, reflecting its successful alignment with re-elected President Carlos Vila Nova during the July presidential contest and the resulting momentum for the main opposition party. ADI, which secured a parliamentary majority in 2022, faces significant internal divisions over leadership that have limited its ability to consolidate support. Multiple smaller parties and coalitions, including Basta, MCI-PS/PUN, PCD, and MDFM, are contesting seats under proportional representation rules for the 55-member National Assembly, but none appear positioned to challenge the frontrunner. Late shifts in turnout patterns, cross-party alliances, or unforeseen campaign developments could still alter the outcome before polls close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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