Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place among the incumbent coalition parties, with traders assigning RNI, PAM, and PI the highest implied probabilities near 30-33 percent each. Leadership transitions, including RNI's shift to Mohamed Chaouki and PAM's elevation of Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri alongside Fouzi Lekjaa's recent affiliation, have reshaped internal dynamics and candidate recruitment ahead of the September 10 campaign launch. Limited polling data, persistent public distrust reflected in low expected turnout, and competition over local candidate strength in multi-member districts sustain the close positioning. Late momentum from urban turnout patterns, coalition realignments, or economic messaging on purchasing power and youth issues could separate the contenders before vote counting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRNI 34%
PAM 33%
PI 28.8%
UC 1.4%
$31,646 Vol.
$31,646 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
34%
PAM
33%
PI
29%
UC
1%
USFP
1%
PJD
1%
PPS
<1%
MP
<1%
RNI 34%
PAM 33%
PI 28.8%
UC 1.4%
$31,646 Vol.
$31,646 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
RNI
$7,665 Vol.
34%
PAM
$5,469 Vol.
33%
PI
$15,614 Vol.
29%
UC
$512 Vol.
1%
USFP
$520 Vol.
1%
PJD
$730 Vol.
1%
PPS
$546 Vol.
<1%
MP
$590 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place among the incumbent coalition parties, with traders assigning RNI, PAM, and PI the highest implied probabilities near 30-33 percent each. Leadership transitions, including RNI's shift to Mohamed Chaouki and PAM's elevation of Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri alongside Fouzi Lekjaa's recent affiliation, have reshaped internal dynamics and candidate recruitment ahead of the September 10 campaign launch. Limited polling data, persistent public distrust reflected in low expected turnout, and competition over local candidate strength in multi-member districts sustain the close positioning. Late momentum from urban turnout patterns, coalition realignments, or economic messaging on purchasing power and youth issues could separate the contenders before vote counting concludes.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$31,646End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place among the incumbent coalition parties, with traders assigning RNI, PAM, and PI the highest implied probabilities near 30-33 percent each. Leadership transitions, including RNI's shift to Mohamed Chaouki and PAM's elevation of Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri alongside Fouzi Lekjaa's recent affiliation, have reshaped internal dynamics and candidate recruitment ahead of the September 10 campaign launch. Limited polling data, persistent public distrust reflected in low expected turnout, and competition over local candidate strength in multi-member districts sustain the close positioning. Late momentum from urban turnout patterns, coalition realignments, or economic messaging on purchasing power and youth issues could separate the contenders before vote counting concludes.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$31,646End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morocco's September 23, 2026, legislative elections for the 395-seat House of Representatives feature a tight contest for second place among the incumbent coalition parties, with traders assigning RNI, PAM, and PI the highest implied probabilities near 30-33 percent each. Leadership transitions, including RNI's shift to Mohamed Chaouki and PAM's elevation of Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri alongside Fouzi Lekjaa's recent affiliation, have reshaped internal dynamics and candidate recruitment ahead of the September 10 campaign launch. Limited polling data, persistent public distrust reflected in low expected turnout, and competition over local candidate strength in multi-member districts sustain the close positioning. Late momentum from urban turnout patterns, coalition realignments, or economic messaging on purchasing power and youth issues could separate the contenders before vote counting concludes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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