Recent polling during the early stages of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady at 13-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where its concentrated vote could translate into multiple wins. Seat projections from aggregators place the PCQ in a narrow band of roughly 5-11 seats, reflecting limited province-wide efficiency amid a fragmented field led by the Parti Québécois and challenged by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals. Trader consensus on 8-13 seats remains tight because small shifts in regional turnout or vote splitting could push totals either direction, while the party’s platform focus on immigration powers and infrastructure has not yet produced a decisive breakthrough. Upcoming leaders’ debates and further regional polling may clarify whether PCQ support expands beyond its current base or stays contained.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-10 29%
11-13 25%
5-7 21%
17+ 10.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<5
8%
5-7
17%
8-10
24%
11-13
25%
14-16
7%
17+
15%
8-10 29%
11-13 25%
5-7 21%
17+ 10.3%
NEW
NEW
Oct 5, 2026
<5
$1,884 Vol.
8%
5-7
$584 Vol.
17%
8-10
$1,049 Vol.
24%
11-13
$1,132 Vol.
25%
14-16
$909 Vol.
7%
17+
$901 Vol.
15%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early stages of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady at 13-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where its concentrated vote could translate into multiple wins. Seat projections from aggregators place the PCQ in a narrow band of roughly 5-11 seats, reflecting limited province-wide efficiency amid a fragmented field led by the Parti Québécois and challenged by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals. Trader consensus on 8-13 seats remains tight because small shifts in regional turnout or vote splitting could push totals either direction, while the party’s platform focus on immigration powers and infrastructure has not yet produced a decisive breakthrough. Upcoming leaders’ debates and further regional polling may clarify whether PCQ support expands beyond its current base or stays contained.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Volume
$6,458End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling during the early stages of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady at 13-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where its concentrated vote could translate into multiple wins. Seat projections from aggregators place the PCQ in a narrow band of roughly 5-11 seats, reflecting limited province-wide efficiency amid a fragmented field led by the Parti Québécois and challenged by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals. Trader consensus on 8-13 seats remains tight because small shifts in regional turnout or vote splitting could push totals either direction, while the party’s platform focus on immigration powers and infrastructure has not yet produced a decisive breakthrough. Upcoming leaders’ debates and further regional polling may clarify whether PCQ support expands beyond its current base or stays contained.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti conservateur du Québec (PCQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Volume
$6,458End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling during the early stages of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election campaign shows the Parti Conservateur du Québec holding steady at 13-16% support, with particular strength in the Quebec City region where its concentrated vote could translate into multiple wins. Seat projections from aggregators place the PCQ in a narrow band of roughly 5-11 seats, reflecting limited province-wide efficiency amid a fragmented field led by the Parti Québécois and challenged by the Coalition Avenir Québec and Liberals. Trader consensus on 8-13 seats remains tight because small shifts in regional turnout or vote splitting could push totals either direction, while the party’s platform focus on immigration powers and infrastructure has not yet produced a decisive breakthrough. Upcoming leaders’ debates and further regional polling may clarify whether PCQ support expands beyond its current base or stays contained.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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