Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, reflected in trader consensus near 99 percent for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent large margins in recent cycles, anchors this positioning. Latimer advanced unopposed through the June primary after winning the seat in 2024, while Republican Joseph Cinquemani also faced no primary opposition. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Limited campaign activity and absence of recent developments that would alter fundamentals sustain the wide gap, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle event involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNY-16 House Election Winner
NY-16 House Election Winner
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
1%
$41,388 Vol.
$41,388 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$30,812 Vol.
98%
Republican Party
$10,577 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, reflected in trader consensus near 99 percent for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent large margins in recent cycles, anchors this positioning. Latimer advanced unopposed through the June primary after winning the seat in 2024, while Republican Joseph Cinquemani also faced no primary opposition. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Limited campaign activity and absence of recent developments that would alter fundamentals sustain the wide gap, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle event involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow it.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$41,388End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, reflected in trader consensus near 99 percent for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent large margins in recent cycles, anchors this positioning. Latimer advanced unopposed through the June primary after winning the seat in 2024, while Republican Joseph Cinquemani also faced no primary opposition. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Limited campaign activity and absence of recent developments that would alter fundamentals sustain the wide gap, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle event involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow it.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$41,388End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Latimer holds a commanding lead in the NY-16 House race, reflected in trader consensus near 99 percent for the Democratic nominee ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The district's strong Democratic lean, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and consistent large margins in recent cycles, anchors this positioning. Latimer advanced unopposed through the June primary after winning the seat in 2024, while Republican Joseph Cinquemani also faced no primary opposition. Nonpartisan ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Limited campaign activity and absence of recent developments that would alter fundamentals sustain the wide gap, though an unforeseen national shift or late-cycle event involving the incumbent could theoretically narrow it.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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