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icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

icon for Nuevo León Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Nuevo León Governor Election Winner

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 18.9%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 17.9%

Judith Díaz Delgado 5.6%

Polymarket

$51,500 Vol.

Adrián de la Garza Santos 23%

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú 18.9%

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas 17.9%

Judith Díaz Delgado 5.6%

Polymarket

$51,500 Vol.

icon for Adrián de la Garza Santos

Adrián de la Garza Santos

$9,762 Vol.

23%

icon for Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

Mariana Rodríguez Cantú

$16,044 Vol.

19%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$3,478 Vol.

18%

icon for Judith Díaz Delgado

Judith Díaz Delgado

$905 Vol.

6%

icon for Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

Alma Rosa Marroquín Escamilla

$766 Vol.

5%

icon for Andrés Mijes Llovera

Andrés Mijes Llovera

$1,538 Vol.

4%

icon for Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

Tatiana Clouthier Carrillo

$3,428 Vol.

4%

icon for Waldo Fernández González

Waldo Fernández González

$588 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesús Alberto Elizondo

Jesús Alberto Elizondo

$405 Vol.

4%

icon for Félix Arratia Cruz

Félix Arratia Cruz

$398 Vol.

4%

icon for Clara Luz Flores Carrales

Clara Luz Flores Carrales

$4,000 Vol.

3%

icon for Martha Herrera González

Martha Herrera González

$699 Vol.

3%

icon for Héctor García García

Héctor García García

$1,265 Vol.

3%

icon for Carlos de la Fuente Flores

Carlos de la Fuente Flores

$347 Vol.

3%

icon for Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

Felipe de Jesús Cantú Rodríguez

$495 Vol.

2%

icon for Annia Gómez Cárdenas

Annia Gómez Cárdenas

$394 Vol.

2%

icon for Miguel Flores Serna

Miguel Flores Serna

$561 Vol.

2%

icon for Raúl Lozano Caballero

Raúl Lozano Caballero

$354 Vol.

2%

icon for Arturo Salinas Garza

Arturo Salinas Garza

$732 Vol.

2%

icon for Daniel Carrillo Martínez

Daniel Carrillo Martínez

$4,977 Vol.

1%

icon for Fernando Margáin Berlanga

Fernando Margáin Berlanga

$365 Vol.

1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Nuevo León's 2027 gubernatorial race remains fluid a year out, with trader prices reflecting a tight contest among frontrunners Adrián de la Garza Santos, Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas amid shifting party identification and coalition possibilities.** Movimiento Ciudadano, the incumbent party, benefits from name recognition for Rodríguez and Colosio in internal polling, while Morena maintains an edge in some party-ID measures but shows more fragmented candidate support across figures like Andrés Mijes, Clara Luz Flores, and Tatiana Clouthier. The PRI's de la Garza leads his party's field and performs competitively in hypothetical PRI-PAN alliance scenarios against MC or Morena candidates. Multiple mid-2026 surveys indicate head-to-head matchups often fall within a few points, driven by high undecided shares, potential cross-party alliances, and limited differentiation on state issues. Further movement hinges on formal nominations, alliance announcements, and additional polling closer to the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$51,500
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Nuevo León's 2027 gubernatorial race remains fluid a year out, with trader prices reflecting a tight contest among frontrunners Adrián de la Garza Santos, Mariana Rodríguez Cantú, and Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas amid shifting party identification and coalition possibilities.** Movimiento Ciudadano, the incumbent party, benefits from name recognition for Rodríguez and Colosio in internal polling, while Morena maintains an edge in some party-ID measures but shows more fragmented candidate support across figures like Andrés Mijes, Clara Luz Flores, and Tatiana Clouthier. The PRI's de la Garza leads his party's field and performs competitively in hypothetical PRI-PAN alliance scenarios against MC or Morena candidates. Multiple mid-2026 surveys indicate head-to-head matchups often fall within a few points, driven by high undecided shares, potential cross-party alliances, and limited differentiation on state issues. Further movement hinges on formal nominations, alliance announcements, and additional polling closer to the vote.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nuevo León on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nuevo León gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nuevo León and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nuevo León and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$51,500
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%, followed by "Mariana Rodríguez Cantú" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" has generated $51.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" is "Adrián de la Garza Santos" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mariana Rodríguez Cantú" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nuevo León Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.