The early pre-nomination phase for Nayarit's June 2027 gubernatorial election sustains even pricing across numerous outcomes, as no major parties have finalized candidates and internal selection processes remain underway. Morena and its allies hold a commanding lead in recent party-preference surveys near or above 50 percent, yet aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez compete closely within the dominant bloc according to mid-2026 polling. Opposition figures from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail with single-digit support. Late-August registrations by multiple Morena contenders for the party's internal coordination role, to be decided by survey, underscore the unresolved dynamics. Clearer separation is likely once nominations conclude and formal campaigning begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHéctor Santana García 24.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 15.2%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 12.1%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.0%
$28,590 Vol.
$28,590 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
24%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
15%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
11%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Santana García 24.4%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu 15.2%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 12.1%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 11.0%
$28,590 Vol.
$28,590 Vol.
Héctor Santana García
24%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
15%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
11%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
2%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
1%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The early pre-nomination phase for Nayarit's June 2027 gubernatorial election sustains even pricing across numerous outcomes, as no major parties have finalized candidates and internal selection processes remain underway. Morena and its allies hold a commanding lead in recent party-preference surveys near or above 50 percent, yet aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Pavel Jarero Velázquez compete closely within the dominant bloc according to mid-2026 polling. Opposition figures from PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano trail with single-digit support. Late-August registrations by multiple Morena contenders for the party's internal coordination role, to be decided by survey, underscore the unresolved dynamics. Clearer separation is likely once nominations conclude and formal campaigning begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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