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icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politics·Primaries

New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Polymarket

$160,248 Vol.

Polymarket

$160,248 Vol.

icon for Chris Pappas

Chris Pappas

$71,292 Vol.

96%

icon for Karishma Manzur

Karishma Manzur

$88,956 Vol.

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas maintains a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his established name recognition as a four-term U.S. representative, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, and endorsements from party leaders including former Vice President Kamala Harris. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by double digits, though her support has risen among younger and socialist-leaning voters through grassroots organizing. With the September 8 primary just days away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in an open-seat race following Jeanne Shaheen's retirement. Late developments such as unusually high turnout among progressives or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin, but Pappas's broad moderate and older voter base makes a reversal unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$160,248
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Chris Pappas maintains a commanding lead in the New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary due to his established name recognition as a four-term U.S. representative, substantial fundraising edge exceeding $15 million, and endorsements from party leaders including former Vice President Kamala Harris. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows him ahead of progressive challenger Karishma Manzur by double digits, though her support has risen among younger and socialist-leaning voters through grassroots organizing. With the September 8 primary just days away, trader consensus reflects these structural advantages in an open-seat race following Jeanne Shaheen's retirement. Late developments such as unusually high turnout among progressives or unexpected campaign events could narrow the margin, but Pappas's broad moderate and older voter base makes a reversal unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire.

If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from New Hampshire. If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$160,248
End Date
Sep 8, 2026
Market Opened
Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chris Pappas" at 96%, followed by "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" has generated $160.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 26, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" is "Chris Pappas" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Karishma Manzur" at 4%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.