Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus at roughly 93 percent for the Democratic nominee. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polling shows her dominating the September 8 Democratic primary and holding double-digit advantages over likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with her 2024 victory in the same contest. The district’s modest Democratic lean, Goodlander’s incumbency and fundraising position, and limited primary competition reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican midterm environment, unexpected shifts in voter turnout, or late polling movement, though no such developments have materialized in available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNH-02 House Election Winner
NH-02 House Election Winner
$16,613 Vol.
$16,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$16,613 Vol.
$16,613 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,868 Vol.
93%
Republican Party
$8,746 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus at roughly 93 percent for the Democratic nominee. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polling shows her dominating the September 8 Democratic primary and holding double-digit advantages over likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with her 2024 victory in the same contest. The district’s modest Democratic lean, Goodlander’s incumbency and fundraising position, and limited primary competition reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican midterm environment, unexpected shifts in voter turnout, or late polling movement, though no such developments have materialized in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Volume
$16,613End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus at roughly 93 percent for the Democratic nominee. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polling shows her dominating the September 8 Democratic primary and holding double-digit advantages over likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with her 2024 victory in the same contest. The district’s modest Democratic lean, Goodlander’s incumbency and fundraising position, and limited primary competition reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican midterm environment, unexpected shifts in voter turnout, or late polling movement, though no such developments have materialized in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,613End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Maggie Goodlander maintains a commanding lead in New Hampshire’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election, reflected in trader consensus at roughly 93 percent for the Democratic nominee. Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm College polling shows her dominating the September 8 Democratic primary and holding double-digit advantages over likely Republican nominee Lily Tang Williams in head-to-head general election matchups, consistent with her 2024 victory in the same contest. The district’s modest Democratic lean, Goodlander’s incumbency and fundraising position, and limited primary competition reinforce the current pricing. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a strong national Republican midterm environment, unexpected shifts in voter turnout, or late polling movement, though no such developments have materialized in available data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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