Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon’s retirement, positioning Democratic nominee Denise Powell against Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban Omaha core and recent presidential voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic advantages in national forecasts, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic reflecting structural headwinds for the GOP nominee. High-profile endorsements and campaign visits have underscored the race’s national profile, while Powell’s fundraising edge and the absence of a contested Republican primary have reinforced trader assessments of a strong Democratic position heading into the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
10%
$39,455 Vol.
$39,455 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$33,446 Vol.
89%
Republican Party
$6,009 Vol.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon’s retirement, positioning Democratic nominee Denise Powell against Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban Omaha core and recent presidential voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic advantages in national forecasts, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic reflecting structural headwinds for the GOP nominee. High-profile endorsements and campaign visits have underscored the race’s national profile, while Powell’s fundraising edge and the absence of a contested Republican primary have reinforced trader assessments of a strong Democratic position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Volume
$39,455End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon’s retirement, positioning Democratic nominee Denise Powell against Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban Omaha core and recent presidential voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic advantages in national forecasts, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic reflecting structural headwinds for the GOP nominee. High-profile endorsements and campaign visits have underscored the race’s national profile, while Powell’s fundraising edge and the absence of a contested Republican primary have reinforced trader assessments of a strong Democratic position heading into the final stretch.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,455End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district features an open seat after longtime Republican incumbent Don Bacon’s retirement, positioning Democratic nominee Denise Powell against Republican Brinker Harding in the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban Omaha core and recent presidential voting patterns have produced consistent Democratic advantages in national forecasts, with ratings from Lean Democratic to Likely Democratic reflecting structural headwinds for the GOP nominee. High-profile endorsements and campaign visits have underscored the race’s national profile, while Powell’s fundraising edge and the absence of a contested Republican primary have reinforced trader assessments of a strong Democratic position heading into the final stretch.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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