**Trader consensus positions the Istiqlal Party (PI) as the narrow favorite for third place in Morocco’s 23 September 2026 legislative elections, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 50% for several mid-tier parties and lower for RNI (34%) and PAM (10.5%).** The fragmented field stems from the outgoing RNI-PAM-PI coalition’s 2021 results and ongoing competition among these three parties for seats in the 395-member House of Representatives. Recent candidate-list announcements, including PAM’s July rollout featuring new recruits, have sustained PAM’s visibility, while RNI’s post-protest leadership transition and Istiqlal’s established rural and regional networks keep the ordering fluid. Local candidate strength, turnout in key constituencies, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the September 10–22 campaign period remain the primary variables that could reorder the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 52%
RNI 34%
PAM 11%
PJD 4.1%
$35,830 Vol.
$35,830 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
52%
RNI
34%
PAM
11%
PJD
4%
UC
1%
USFP
1%
MP
<1%
PPS
<1%
PI 52%
RNI 34%
PAM 11%
PJD 4.1%
$35,830 Vol.
$35,830 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
$16,401 Vol.
52%
RNI
$15,607 Vol.
34%
PAM
$1,192 Vol.
11%
PJD
$550 Vol.
4%
UC
$435 Vol.
1%
USFP
$817 Vol.
1%
MP
$470 Vol.
<1%
PPS
$358 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Trader consensus positions the Istiqlal Party (PI) as the narrow favorite for third place in Morocco’s 23 September 2026 legislative elections, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 50% for several mid-tier parties and lower for RNI (34%) and PAM (10.5%).**
The fragmented field stems from the outgoing RNI-PAM-PI coalition’s 2021 results and ongoing competition among these three parties for seats in the 395-member House of Representatives. Recent candidate-list announcements, including PAM’s July rollout featuring new recruits, have sustained PAM’s visibility, while RNI’s post-protest leadership transition and Istiqlal’s established rural and regional networks keep the ordering fluid. Local candidate strength, turnout in key constituencies, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the September 10–22 campaign period remain the primary variables that could reorder the top three.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$35,830End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.**Trader consensus positions the Istiqlal Party (PI) as the narrow favorite for third place in Morocco’s 23 September 2026 legislative elections, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 50% for several mid-tier parties and lower for RNI (34%) and PAM (10.5%).**
The fragmented field stems from the outgoing RNI-PAM-PI coalition’s 2021 results and ongoing competition among these three parties for seats in the 395-member House of Representatives. Recent candidate-list announcements, including PAM’s July rollout featuring new recruits, have sustained PAM’s visibility, while RNI’s post-protest leadership transition and Istiqlal’s established rural and regional networks keep the ordering fluid. Local candidate strength, turnout in key constituencies, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the September 10–22 campaign period remain the primary variables that could reorder the top three.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$35,830End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus positions the Istiqlal Party (PI) as the narrow favorite for third place in Morocco’s 23 September 2026 legislative elections, with implied probabilities clustered tightly around 50% for several mid-tier parties and lower for RNI (34%) and PAM (10.5%).** The fragmented field stems from the outgoing RNI-PAM-PI coalition’s 2021 results and ongoing competition among these three parties for seats in the 395-member House of Representatives. Recent candidate-list announcements, including PAM’s July rollout featuring new recruits, have sustained PAM’s visibility, while RNI’s post-protest leadership transition and Istiqlal’s established rural and regional networks keep the ordering fluid. Local candidate strength, turnout in key constituencies, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the September 10–22 campaign period remain the primary variables that could reorder the top three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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